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植耀輝:加息陰霾拖低納指 港股17,800點不宜有失
耀才證券研究部總監植耀輝稱,美股隔晚(20日)續見調整,聯儲局議息後維持息率不變,不過點陣圖顯示年內仍有機會加息一次,消息利淡投資氣氛,科技股跌勢較顯著,納指便跌1.5%,標普500指數亦跌近1%,反觀道指跌幅較輕微,下跌0.2%。 港股方面,恆指昨日全日維持跌勢,最低便跌至17,833點,其後雖有所反彈,但全日計恆指仍跌111點或0.62%,收報17,885點,科指則跌1.6%,收報3,921點,大市成交金額只得712億元。至於A股亦下跌,上綜指下跌0.52%,深成指則跌0.53%,距離萬點關口僅72點。創業板指數則失守2,000點,並再創近三年新低,兩市成交量亦創年內新低,只得5,700億元人民幣。 聯儲局一如預期維持息率不變,但年內仍有機會再進行加息,預期市場須時間消化。不過正如過去數日所指,在缺乏實質消息支持下,即使恆指繼續穩守17,800點,惟後市亦難有太大寄望,港股17,800點不宜有失。 (筆者為證監會持牌人) ********* 美股調整未完 恆指再考驗17,800點支持 2023年9月21日 耀才研究部稱,隔晚(20日)聯儲局議息會議後一如預期維持息率不變,美股則持續回落,當中又以納指跌幅最大,達到1.5%,道指及標普500指數則分別下跌0.2%及0.94%。至於反映中概股表現之金龍指數則下跌0.9%,連跌第四個交易日。 至於港股與A股走勢依舊未見改善,恆指昨日便考驗17,800點支持,雖然最終仍能企穩,惟整體走勢仍差,恆指收報17,885點,下跌111點或0.62%,科指跌幅則達到1.6%,收報3,921點,成交金額則進一步萎縮至713億元。成份股中以舜宇(02382.HK)表現最差,跌幅達到5.5%,東方海外(00316.HK)則為表現最好藍籌,升近2.8%。板塊則以資源股表現較佳,科技股則普遍錄得跌幅。由於市況仍未見起色,加上整體投資氣氛仍差,恐怕後市再度考驗17,800點水平仍高,投資者亦暫不宜在現水平博反彈。 技術走勢方面,恆指維持弱勢,並繼續受制於10天線及20天線水平,雖然17,800點支持力仍強,惟多個技術指標均已轉弱,當中MACD已漸呈雙熊形態。若恆指進一步失守17,800點關口,則不排除會下試17,500點以下水平。 (筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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