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《即日市評》憧人行或降準 恆指再升 碧桂園等內房股急彈
官媒《中國證券報》發表文章引述分析指人行或快將降準,交行(03328.HK)明日(30日)亦將牽頭召開個人住房貸款存量利率調整項目啟動會,港股今日(29日)反覆向上。美股道指及納指隔晚(28日)各升0.6%及0.8%;執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率跌至4.204厘,美匯指數跌至104.04,道指期貨最新微升2點,納指期貨最新微跌0.02%。上證綜指今日升37點或1.2%收3,135點,深證成指升2.2%,而滬深兩市成交額共近1.04萬億元人民幣。 恆指高開130點後升幅擴大,曾升453點一度見18,583點,全日升353點或1.95%,收18,484點;國指升140點或2.3%,收6,386點;恆生科技指數升106點或2.6%,收4,234點。大市全日成交總額1,013.85億元,滬、深港通南下交易淨流入26.08億及21.6億元人民幣。 港交所(00388.HK)股價續升5%,科網股造好,騰訊(00700.HK)、美團-W(03690.HK)、阿里-SW(09988.HK)及快手-W(01024.HK)股價各漲1.3%、1.9%、2.3%及3.3%。小米-W(01810.HK)股價升近1.5%。 【港交所續升 碧桂園急彈】 內房股彈高,碧桂園(02007.HK)股價搶上12.4%,中國海外(00688.HK)及龍湖(00960.HK)各漲6.5%及6%。大和發表報告指上周五(25日)晚間,人民銀行、銀保監會和住房城鄉建設部聯合發布通知,推動落實購買首套房貸款「認房不認貸」政策措施,認為今次發出的通知是中央政府提醒地方政府,尤其是一線城市採取相應行動,同時亦顯示中央政府決心重振購房者信心和房地產市場。該行認為政策支持比房屋銷售更有可能提振市場情緒。 新能源汽車股造好,比亞迪(01211.HK)全日股價彈高5.6%收237.8元。大和指,比亞迪第二季淨利潤68億元人民幣按年增長145%,符合早前指引目標。當中,毛利率達到18.7%,按年增長4.3個百分點,按季增長0.8個百分點。毛利率按季回升原因可能是由於碳酸鋰價格下跌,以及季內無提供補貼補償。大和維持對比亞迪全年290萬輛新能源汽車銷量預測,並預計到年底,每月銷量將達到30萬輛,成為股價的重要催化劑。同時亦看好比亞迪海外發展,認為很可能成為公司長期增長的主要動力。 【升股千三隻 商湯反覆升】 港股主板今日市寬向好,主板股票的升跌比率為31比13(上日24比18),上升股份1,310隻(升幅3.3%);恆指成份股今日77隻股份上升,下跌股份2隻,升跌比率為96比2(上日為64為30);大市今日錄沽空201.4億元,佔可沽空股份成交額870.5億元的23.136%(上日23.795%)。 東方甄選(01797.HK)全日股價回吐8.5%收41.55元。商湯-W(00020.HK)今日反覆上落,盤中曾低見1.37元一度下挫8.7%,全日升近2.7%收1.54元。海通國際指,商湯中期收入按年升1.3%至14億元人民幣,較市場預期差31%。經調整EBITDA虧損20億元人民幣,按年收窄12.8%,但經調整淨虧損24億元人民幣,較市場預期差9.4%。該行指公司從智慧城市轉向生成人工智能,半年在智能城市收入按年跌58%,相關收入貢獻佔比由29%降至13%,淨現金流出按年收窄2%至18億元人民幣。 海通國際指商湯仍預期2025年達到停止經調整淨虧損,但基於今年收入減速,該行估計其收支平衡料在2026年才可達成。但基於把政府業務轉移至生成人工智能,經營現金流或早於經調整淨利潤轉正。該行下調對商湯目標價由3.6元降至3.4元,維持「優於大市」評級。
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