植耀輝:美股個別發展納指急升 恆指有望技術反彈
耀才證券研究部總監植耀輝稱,美股隔晚(21日)走勢個別發展,道指微跌,標普500指數則升0.7%。值得留意的是納指,在Tesla(TSLA.US)及Nvidia(NVDA.US)分別急升逾7%及8%,帶動納指上升206點或1.6%。
港股方面,恆指頹勢未見有太大改善,昨日一度大跌363點,低見17,587點,再創年內新低,雖然收市稍見反彈,但全日計仍跌327點或1.8%,收報17,623點,成交金額1,085.4億元。在「七連跌」下,恆指累跌1,624點或8.4%,整月計跌幅則達到2,455點或12.2%。至於A股表現亦差,上綜指以全日低位收市,報3,092點,下跌38點或1.2%,深成指則跌1.3%,收報10,320點,同樣以全日最低位收市。兩市成交金額不足7,000億元人民幣,只得6,782.6億元人民幣。
恆指反彈乏力,反映投資者對後市看法仍相當有保留,始終內房債務問題依然嚴峻,另外A股走勢欠佳亦拖累港股投資氣氛。由於恆指14天RSI已跌至26極超賣水平,短期不排除會有技術反彈,只是在缺乏實質利好及內房債問題之擔憂下,相信恆指將維持反覆尋底格局。
(筆者為證監會持牌人,持有Nvidia股份)
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美股反彈納指升1.6% 港股超賣或有輕微反彈
耀才研究部稱,隔晚(21日)美股三大指數個別發展,道指微跌36點,標普500指數及納指則分別上升0.7%及1.6%,當中Nvidia(NVDA.US)及Tesla(TSLA.US)分別急升8.5%及7.3%。至於反映中概股表現之金龍指數則反彈0.8%。
港股方面,恆指連跌第七個交易日,收市跌327點或1.8%,盤中曾一度低見17,631點,創年內新低。新經濟股偏軟,另東方海外(00316.HK)中期息大減,拖累股價大跌5.6%。在成份股跌多升少下,最終恆指收報17,623點;科指則收報3,923點,下跌2.1%。全日成交金額1,085.4億元。另外,被剔出成份股之列之碧桂園(02007.HK)股價下跌2.6%,成份股新貴國藥(01099.HK)則升2.3%。由於投資氣氛未見改善,加上業績期等因素,相信投資者現階段亦未敢輕言入市,在缺乏利好消息支持下,恐怕恆指將維持續試底可能,並進一步考驗17,300點水準。
至於技術分析上看,正如昨日所指,恆指已失守6月至今形成之「雙頂」頸線(約18,300點),走勢亦進一步轉差,昨日「七連跌」之餘亦一度考驗17,600點水平。現時14天RSI已跌至27超賣水平,預期短期或會出現技術反彈,但在整體形勢未見改善下,恐怕反彈後將再度尋底。
(筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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