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《即日市評》恆指反覆升 藥股受捧 碧桂園續跌
觀望美國通脹數據,港股今日反覆上落。穆迪下調美國10家中小型銀行信貸評級,美股道指及納指隔晚各跌0.5%及0.8%,執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率跌至4.012厘,美匯指數處102.38,道指期貨最新升73點或0.21%,納指期貨最新升0.4%。中國公布7月CPI按年跌0.3%(市場預期跌0.4%),7月PPI按年跌4.4%(市場預期跌4%)(按月下降0.2%),市場憂內地消費前景及關注當局會否進一步推出刺激措施,上證綜指今日跌16點或0.49%收3,244點,深證成指跌0.53%,而滬深兩市成交額共7,365.77億人民幣。 恆指今早低開124點後倒升,曾升86點一度高見19,270點,全日升61點或0.3%,收19,246點;國指升25點或0.4%,收6,613點;恆生科技指數跌不足1點,收4,373點。大市全日成交總額按日降逾18%至850.39億元,滬、深港通南下交易淨流出3.3億及39.87億元人民幣。 科網股偏好,騰訊(00700.HK)股價升0.7%,阿里(09988.HK)走高1.1%,美團(03690.HK)走高0.6%。部份醫藥股受捧,信達生物(01801.HK)股價揚12.2%,康希諾生物(06185.HK)彈15.5%,藥明康德(02359.HK)揚5.8%。 【醫藥股受捧 碧桂園續跌】 市場仍關注內房股債務及流動性風險,碧桂園(02007.HK)全日股價下跌1.8%收1.11元,同系物管股碧服(06098.HK)跌1.6%。碧桂園表示,因再融資環境惡化而面臨階段性流動壓力,兩筆債券的利息仍處30天付息寬限期。 瑞銀指,碧桂園近日有兩筆離岸債券息票到期未支付,涉及2,250萬美元,認為由於公司經營現金流出及即將到期債券規模不少,9月至12月到期債券額料達到200億元人民幣,流動性層面充滿挑戰,重申「沽售」評級,目標價1.2元。目前內地樓市表現疲軟,該行預計碧桂園今年5月至7月的每月經營現金流出將超過100億元人民幣,對比去年底止手頭現金餘額為約870億元人民幣。 若碧桂園進行債券重組,瑞銀憂慮可能會造成負面溢出影響,除打擊買家對私人開發商項目如期竣工的信心外,亦會影響金融機構及供應商對房企的取態,間接對非上市項目合作夥伴亦帶來負面影響。 【市寬略改善 理想績後挫】 港股今日市寬改善,主板股票的升跌比率為21比18(上日11比31);恆指成份股今日56隻股份上升,下跌股份21隻,升跌比率為70比26(上日為10為88);大市今日錄沽空125.37億元,佔可沽空股份成交額713.7億元的17.567%(上日為23.16%)。 理想汽車(02015.HK)全日股價下滑5.5%收167.7元。摩根士丹利指,市場對理想次季盈利預測已由20億元人民幣上調至30億元人民幣,導致股價過去兩周急升24%。但公司第二季盈利僅符合原來預期,令市場感到失望,並指供應鏈樽頸限制9月前產量增長,均不能滿足市場預期並引發股價沽售。該行認為,上述情況不改變理想長期增長趨勢,月度銷售將於第四季恢復增長,公司有信心第四季達到每月銷售4萬輛及全年目標36萬輛。 國泰航空(00293.HK)全日微跌0.1%收8.66元。國泰中午公布今年中期業績扭虧為盈賺42.68億元,對比上年同期蝕49.99億元;每股基本盈利61.5仙。不派中期息。上半年收入達435.93億元,按年升1.35倍。其中集團客運收益增長逾12.2倍至275.63億元,貨運收益則達124.32億元,按年跌10.1%。集團計劃於今年底前贖回50%的優先股,贖回價超過97.5億元,並待建議股本削減完成後及視乎當時業務運作,目標在明年7月底前贖回餘下優先股。(wl/u) ~
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