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植耀輝:美股續升 港股7月目標有望達成
耀才證券研究部總監植耀輝稱,美股上周五(28日)造好,企業業績表現理想,尤其是半導體企業交出亮麗成績表,意味行業下半年有望復甦,帶動納指顯著上升近2%。道指及標普500指數則分別上升0.5%及1%。全周計,道指累升0.66%,標普500指數及納指則分別累升1.01%及2.02%。 港股方面,上周五繼續有好表現,恆指上升277點或1.41%,收報19,916點,科指亦升近3%,收報4,466點,全日成交達到1,377億元。全周計恆指升幅達到841點或4.4%,科指亦累升8.8%。經本周之上升,恆指年初至今恢復正回報,而科指升幅則擴大至8%。A股亦有理想表現,滬深兩市上周五分別上升1.6%及1.8%,成交亦回升至9,500億元人民幣。全周計上綜指累升3.4%,深成指升幅亦達到2.7%。 上周五汽車及內房股繼續有資金追捧,中資券商股亦急升,內地有消息指在中央政治局會議提到「活躍資本市場」上,降低印花稅為其中一個選項,遂刺激相關股份表現。嚴格上上周五大部分板塊均表現出現,除了以上因素外,投資者亦憧憬會有更多刺激措施出台,對市場氣氛亦有正面支持。另外,停牌多時之恆大汽車(00708.HK)上周五復牌,股價全日大跌61%。 由於市場氣氛仍不俗,加上內地相繼推出更多刺激內需消息,氣氛有助港股延續反彈,預期今日有望突破20,000點關口,筆者本月初定下之恆指目標最終亦有望成功達標。至於後市能否續升,則要留意A股表現及企業季績情況。 (筆者為證監會持牌人,並未持有相關股份) ********** 金龍指數勁升 恆指料今破兩萬關 耀才研究部稱,美股上周五(28日)繼續有好表現,在半導體股份造好支持下,納指升近2%,道指及標普500指數則分別上升0.5%及1%。金龍指數則勁升近7%,一周計累升達13.6%。 港股上周表現則相當出色,全周計恆指累升841點或4.4%,並升至19,900點水平,至於科指升幅更達到8.8%至4,466點。在政策憧憬加上利好消息刺激,內房及汽車股升幅顯著,個別如龍湖(00960.HK)及小鵬(09868.HK)一周便急升27%及46%。另停牌多時之恆大汽車(00708.HK)上周五復牌,股價全日大跌61%。在投資者繼續憧憬內地會有更多刺激措施消息下,有望對市況帶來支持,預期恆指將有望挑戰兩萬關口,若A股進一步造好,則恆指有機會繼續挑戰高位。 技術分析方面,恆指自上周先後突破並企穩100天線及250天線後走勢進一步轉強,MACD「雙牛」持續,反映市底仍轉強中,暫以前高位20,300點為短期目標,下方則以100天線亦即19,570點附近作支持。 (筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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