You are browsing the Hong Kong website, Regulated by Hong Kong SFC (CE number: BJA907). Investment is risky and you must be cautious when entering the market.
瑞銀汪濤:次季內地GDP或按年增長7.2% 料利好政策溫和加碼
阿思達克 07-14 15:31
瑞銀亞洲經濟研究主管及首席中國經濟學家汪濤表示,內地高頻數據顯示6月經濟按月增長動能疲弱,基數效應消退拖累大部分經濟活動指標按年增速放緩,包括房地產銷售、整車貨運流量指數、汽車銷量和地鐵客流量等,故預計今年次季內地GDP按季折年增長率(季調後)可能大幅放緩至1-2%,但低基數可能推動其按年增速上行至7.2%左右。 汪濤表示,在近期央行降息後,預計政策支持將繼續溫和加碼、支撐經濟增長。她預計,在政策支持下,下半年消費活動會進一步溫和復甦、房地產活動可能逐步企穩,經濟增長環比動能或將有所回升。故她預計第三、四度GDP按年增速為4.3%和4.8%,帶動2023年全年GDP增速約為5.2% 另外,汪濤表示人民幣匯率預計在下半年有所升值,維持對年底人民幣兌美元匯率預測不變,預計下半年匯率會較目前有所回升、年底升至6.9到7。(ca/u) ~
Follow us
Find us on Facebook, Twitter , Instagram, and YouTube or frequent updates on all things investing.Have a financial topic you would like to discuss? Head over to the uSMART Community to share your thoughts and insights about the market! Click the picture below to download and explore uSMART app!
Disclaimers
uSmart Securities Limited (“uSmart”) is based on its internal research and public third party information in preparation of this article. Although uSmart uses its best endeavours to ensure the content of this article is accurate, uSmart does not guarantee the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the information of this article and is not responsible for any views/opinions/comments in this article. Opinions, forecasts and estimations reflect uSmart’s assessment as of the date of this article and are subject to change. uSmart has no obligation to notify you or anyone of any such changes. You must make independent analysis and judgment on any matters involved in this article. uSmart and any directors, officers, employees or agents of uSmart will not be liable for any loss or damage suffered by any person in reliance on any representation or omission in the content of this article. The content of the article is for reference only and does not constitute any offer, solicitation, recommendation, opinion or guarantee of any securities, virtual assets, financial products or instruments. Regulatory authorities may restrict the trading of virtual asset-related ETFs to only investors who meet specified requirements. Any calculations or images in the article are for illustrative purposes only.
Investment involves risks and the value and income from securities may rise or fall. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Please carefully consider your personal risk tolerance, and consult independent professional advice if necessary.
uSMART
Wealth Growth Made Easy
Open Account