《即日市評》美議息紀錄「鷹派」 恆指再跌 中資金融股捱沽
恆指連續兩日急跌,向下及失守萬九關。美聯儲發布6月議息會議紀錄,接近所有美聯儲官員預期將進一步收緊利率政策,展現出「鷹派」立場,美股道指及納指隔晚各跌近0.4%及0.2%。執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率升至3.965厘,美匯指數處103.34,道指期貨最新跌156點或0.45%,納指期貨最新跌0.5%。市場關注中美關係發展,上證綜指今日跌17點或0.54%收3,205點,深證成指跌0.6%,而滬深兩市成交額共8,197億人民幣人民幣。
恆指低開269點後跌幅擴大,曾挫627點一度低見18,483點,全日收報18,533點,跌577點或3%;國指跌221點或3.4%,收報6,268點;恆生科技指數跌67點或1.7%,收報3,948點。大市全日成交總額972.91億元。滬、深港通南下交易全日分別淨流入26.06億及18.24億元。
阿里巴巴(09988.HK)及騰訊(00700.HK)全日股價跌近1.4%及2.6%,美團(03690)走低3.1%,商湯(00020.HK)股價走低0.5%。
【恆指失萬九 內需股承壓】
濠賭股造淡,金沙中國(01928.HK)股價挫5.3%。內需股亦受壓,安踏(02020.HK)及海底撈(06862.HK)全日股價各下滑4.4%及4.3%,蒙牛(02319.HK)股價走低4.1%,萬洲(00288.HK)全日股價下滑3.2%。內房股亦向下,華潤置地(01109.HK)股價下滑4.6%。
高盛發表報告表示,內地第二季經濟按季增速顯著放緩,市場參與者憧憬當局推出更多政策寬鬆措施以支持經濟增長,該行近日與北京的境內客戶進行了交談,客戶包括保險公司的資產管理公司、互惠基金及私募股權基金。
該行指內地客戶對短期政策寬鬆和結構性改革預期較低,雖然本地客戶一致認為,與第二季度相比,短期內整體政策立場將變得更具支持性,但客戶將這些額外的寬鬆措施視為減少經濟增長阻力的「政策投放」,而不是帶來強勁增長的措施。當地客戶預計不會出現重大政策寬鬆措施或結構性改革。
【跌股佔三成 金融股造淡】
港股今日市寬轉弱,主板股票的升跌比率為9比31(上日11比29),下跌股份1,329隻(跌幅2.6%),恆指成份股今日2隻股份上升,下跌股份78隻,升跌比率為3比98(上日為7比89);大市今日錄沽空176.22億元,佔可沽空股份成交額819.18億元的21.512%(上日為31.14%)。
恆生金融分類指數下滑4.8%,中資金融股受壓,建行(00939.HK)、工行(01398.HK)及中行(03988.HK)今日(6日)除淨,股價各跌3.2%、3.2%及2.4%。保險股造淡,中國平安(02318.HK)全日股價走低2.9%收49.45元,國壽(02628.HK)及友邦(01299.HK)分別下滑2.2%及4%。
里昂發表中國保險行業報告表示,並以「今年下半年透明度有限」作為報告的標題,該行指近日參與了中國太保(02601.HK)及中國太平(00966.HK)投資者日,與兩家公司管理層進行溝通。就報道指內地多家險企反映,此前接到通知做好6月30日停售預定利率3.5%的壽險產品;而該行引述中國太保和中國太平均指已完成大部分新核心產品的開發,將分階段替代現有3.5%壽險產品價位產品。
該行引述中國太平表示,尚不確定消費者是否會喜歡3%定價的新產品或可變回報的參與產品,而中國太保壽險首席執行官蔡強認為分紅產品會更有吸引力。該行指兩公司管理層都意識到產品轉型將在短期內產生不利影響,但均相信銷售額不會持續下降。
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