中報行情開啟!飛龍股份首板,股價創新高,哪些板塊還有機會?
又要到A股中報披露窗口期了,業績主線已經有所迴歸,一些已披露業績預吿的個股股價上升。此前,已有中通客車、大金重工、保利聯合等公司在業績預吿發布後升停。
今日,汽車股飛龍股份升停,創下2015年12月以來新高,升停成交額2.37億元,換手率11.8%;同濟科技盤初一度升超7%,現已回落;百潤股份高開超5%。

消息面上,這些個股昨日晚間均披露了上半年的業績預吿,淨利潤增幅大於50%。
飛龍股份預計,上半年實現歸母淨利潤1.3億元-1.5億元,同比增440.43%-523.57%;同濟科技預計,上半年淨利潤1.78億元-2.08億元,同比增加122%-159%;百潤股份預計,上半年實現歸母淨利潤盈利4.196億元-4.527億元,同比增長90%-105%。
截至7月5日,據同花順數據,已披露的上半年業績預吿中,有87只個股上半年的淨利潤預增,37只個股淨利潤預增幅度超過50%;4只個股淨利潤預虧。

其中,保利聯合作為國內民爆行業龍頭,預計上半年淨利潤約5560-7522萬元,同比增幅約為2592%-3542%,暫居首位;悦心健康預計2023年上半年歸屬於上市公司股東的淨利潤1.55億元~1.75億元,同比扭虧為盈,緊隨其後。
此外,米奧會展、海能達、露笑科技、阿特斯、超圖軟件、萬達電影、康恩貝、容大感光、亨迪藥業均預計上半年淨利增速超100%。
分行業來看,另據浙商證券前瞻,從季節性來看,計算機、汽車、美容護理、輕工製造和機械設備行業有望中報業績高增;從工業企業數據來看,公用事業、電新、汽車、機械設備有望高增,同時汽車、機械設備、電子或邊際有明顯改善;從分析師預期來看,今年二季度傳媒上修佔比居於首位,或預示邊際業績改善。
同時,業績增長明顯並不意味着股價就會上升,比如昨日公佈上半年淨利潤翻倍的廣電計量今日股價繼續下挫。

由此可見,業績公佈後,股價表現如何、以及後續的持續性如何均需要看個股所處行業,是否是市場看好的賽道。
以飛龍股份為例,近幾日,市場上升得比較好的是汽車,其才在業績預吿後升停。這也意味着,投資者想要參與半年報行情,還是需要關注市場熱點賽道,個股業績的高增只是錦上添花。
展望未來,中信證券則認為,市場依然處於下半年波動區間的谷底,主題、政策、調倉三大博弈在7月將逐步收斂,聚焦業績驅動的中報行情。
浙商證券認為,中報季即將開始,業績線索開始顯現。經歷了6月以來的初期蓄勢,7月行情將漸入佳境。TMT中計算機、電子和傳媒均有可能業績出現改善,或將驅動行情進一步上升。
華泰證券研報也指出,7 月市場賺錢效應或改善,景氣處於築底位或爬坡位的品種主要分佈在TMT、可選消費、公共產業和部分中游製造。AI 板塊階段性有一定調整壓力,當前市場或進入“中報+政策預期”雙重驗證期,在主題+籌碼+景氣框架基礎上,進一步篩選景氣正向邊際變化、 有政策或主題催化、籌碼擁擠度低的品種,建議關注電子、火電、汽車、白電、乳品、風電、輪胎。
財通證券認為,當下等待產業催化和經濟政策、外部波動較大的背景下,重視中報業績:1)數字經濟(運營商、軟件開發)。2)新能源(光伏、風電)。3)可選消費(乘用車、白色家電)。
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