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《即日市評》憂美或再加息 恆指失守萬九 車股弱勢
美聯儲局主席鮑威爾指今年或再加息兩次,恆指今日受金融及科網股拖累向下,失守19,000點關。鮑威爾稱,通脹回落至2%對支持美國經濟的長期健康至關重要,今年內或再加息兩次。美股道指及納指隔晚各跌0.7%及0.16%;執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率跌至3.748釐,美匯指數升至103.12,道指期貨最新跌133點或0.3%,納指期貨最新跌0.75%。內地A股今日因端午節假期休市。 恆指低開83點後跌幅擴大,午後曾跌418點一度低見18,800點,全日跌328點或1.7%,收報18,889點;國指跌111點或1.7%,收報6,394點;恆生科技指數跌82點或2.1%,收報3,879點。港股全日成交總額697.98億元,滬、深港通南下交易暫停,下週一(25日)恢復。新創建(00659.HK)下午1時05分起短暫停止買賣,以待刊發有關內幕消息的公告;新世界發展(00017.HK)下午3時42分起暫停買賣,待公佈內幕消息。日前派成績表的維他奶(00345.HK)遭里昂下調目標價,股價急挫18%。 恆指本週累跌1,150點或5.7%、國指本週累跌438點或6.4%、恆生科指本週累跌354點或8.4%。美聯儲局官員較「鷹派」的言論令市場關注未來加息前景,投資者亦擔心中美關係轉趨緊張,而人民幣匯率持續轉弱。 【恆指失萬九 科網股捱沽】 科網股走弱,騰訊(00700.HK)及網易(09999.HK)股價各跌近1%及0.9%,美團(03690.HK)走低近2.3%,阿里(09988.HK)及京東(09618.HK)股價各走低0.8%及1.8%。 摩根士丹利發表報告,預期端午節假期前後中國股市波動性加劇,因受到多個方面風險及不確定性重現影響,包括宏觀經濟憂慮、地緣政治不確定、內地A股上市時間表及假期因素。該行指有兩項主要因素成爲中國市場復甦的障礙,首先是宏動復甦動力放緩,政府何時與如何推出刺激或放鬆政策,以進一步展示對經濟增長的承諾;其次是地緣政治不確定性。 在宏觀因素方面,疲弱製造業及樓市對消費的溢出效應開始顯現,內地「618」購物節毛交易金額按年增長14.8%,對比去年及前年的20.3%及26.5%按年增幅顯着放緩。該行建議投資者在端午節前後短時間內保持警惕,留意更多宏觀寬鬆措施,以及任何中美關係回穩的跡象。 【跌股千三隻 電車股走弱】 港股今日市寬轉弱,主板股票的升跌比率爲9比33(上日10比31),下跌股份1,385只(跌幅3%),恆指成份股今日4只股份上升,下跌股份75只,升跌比率爲5比94(上日爲10比90);大市今日錄沽空113.74億元,佔可沽空股份成交額566.93億元的約20.062%(上日爲16.812%)。 市場正等待內地或出臺更多支持經濟及樓市政策,內地汽車股受壓,比亞迪(01211.HK)跌3.3%,小鵬汽車(09868.HK)股價下挫近9%,蔚來(09866.HK)跌6.6%。 摩根大通發表報告指,國家工信部等部門日前公佈市場期待已久的2024至2027年新能源汽車購置稅優惠政策,預料有助帶動新能源汽車需求。但由於短期內市場競爭仍然激烈,摩通認爲下半年價格戰將持續,仍然會對整車製造商的盈利能力及股價表現構成壓力,首選股份爲比亞迪。
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