《即日市評》恆指重上兩萬 成交千七億 科網股揚
市場憧憬美聯儲將較預期早結束加息及內地推刺激經濟措施,恆指今日重上兩萬關。美股道指及納指隔晚各升1.3%及1.2%;執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率跌至3.74釐,美匯指數處102.22,道指期貨最新升23點或0.07%,納指期貨最新升0.16%。日本央行維持利率不變,及指如有必要將進一步推刺激措施。上證綜指今日升20點或0.63%收3,273點,深證成指升1.1%,而滬深兩市成交額共1.07萬億人民幣。
恆指高開86點後升幅擴大,午後曾升327點一度高見20,155點,全日升211點或1.1%,收報20,040點;國指升60點或0.9%,收報6,833點;恆生科技指數升35點或0.8%,收報4,233點。大市全日成交總額按日升近45%至1,754.6億元,滬、深港通南下交易淨流出38.02億及29.81億元人民幣。港交所(00388.HK)今日股價升0.5%收317元,港幣-人民幣雙櫃檯股票模式將在下週一(19日)開啓。發改委指將加緊制定出臺恢復和擴大消費政策文件,基建股揚,中鐵建(01186.HK)漲5.5%。
恆指本週累升650點或3.4%、國指本週累升243點或3.7%、恆生科指本週累299升點或7.6%。美聯儲局中如預期維持利率不變,但示意今年或會繼續加息;內地昨公佈5月經濟數據普遍低於預期,令市場憧憬當局或會推出更多支持經濟增長的政策。
【恆指企兩萬 科網股造好】
《人民日報》評論文章提出加快發展新一代人工智能,科技股上升,阿里(09988.HK)全日股價升2.9%報91.6元,騰訊(00700.HK)全日升2.3%報363元,美團(03690.HK)、網易(09999.HK)及嗶哩嗶哩(09626.HK)升0.4%至0.6%,京東(09618.HK)升1.4%。
中銀國際發表報告指,國家統計局數據顯示,今年5月份社會零售額按年增幅放緩至12.7%,其中商品網上零售額按年增長16.9%,按月比較回落4個百分點,線上銷售滲透率進一步提升至28.8%,相信是由是「618」促銷活動的預售階段,推動了5月線上銷售滲透率增長。憧憬電商平臺商品成交總額(GMV)增長進一步恢復,加上科企具有較吸引的估值,以及政府降息等利好政策的出臺,中銀國際重申對中國電商行業的「增持」評級。
【升股千一隻 電動車股揚】
港股今日市寬續向好,主板股票的升跌比率爲27比14(上日27比13),上升股份1,147只(升幅2.7%),恆指成份股今日61只股份上升,下跌股份12只,升跌比率爲76比15(上日爲88比10);大市今日錄沽空277.85億元,佔可沽空股份成交額1,586.02億元的約17.519%(上日爲16.594%)。
電動車新勢力股受追捧,小鵬汽車(09868.HK)全日股價漲4.2%,蔚來(09866.HK)股價彈高8.6%。摩根士丹利發表報告,指蔚來的智能電動旅行車ET5 Touring的定價比該行預料更具競爭力。雖然相對來說,該市場較爲小衆,但公司管理層認爲,ET5 Touring的銷售或會超過其轎車版本。ET5轎車和Touring、及新的ES6將可主導集團銷售額。
該行提到,目前仍要繼續觀察蔚來可否提高ET5 Touring的銷量來達到其下半年每月出售2萬輛的目標,而管理層則預計,ET5系列在銷量上的貢獻佔比約30%。
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