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《即日市評》恆指重上萬九關 匯控及友邦造高
受金融股及騰訊(00700.HK)帶動,恆指今日反覆造好及重上萬九關。美國勞工部公布5月非農業職位增加33.9萬個,失業率升至3.7%,美股道指及納指上周五各升2.1%及1.1%;執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率升至3.741厘,美匯指數處104.24,道指期貨最新升39點或0.12%,納指期貨最新跌0.2%。財新中國5月服務業PMI升至57.1(市場預期55.2),上證綜指今日升2點或0.07%收3,232點,深證成指跌0.4%,滬深兩市成交額共8,738億人民幣。 恆指今早高開65點後在19,000點之上爭持,全日升158點或0.8%,收報19,108點;國指升35點或0.6%,收報6,463點;恆生科技指數升16點或0.4%,收報3,840點。大市全日成交總額999.01億元。滬、深港通南下交易淨流入54.2億及60.7億元人民幣。 藍籌新貴方面,攜程(09961.HK)全日股價升4.4%報268.2元,京東健康(06618.HK)跌2.2%報48.9元,華潤電力(00836.HK)跌1.4%報18.08元,紫金(02899.HK)跌1.2%報11.3元。騰訊(00700.HK)升1.2%,中芯(00981.HK)彈高6.3%,盈富基金(02800.HK)則升0.8%收19.35元,成交增至121.82億元。 【恆指上萬九 金融股造好】 金融股支撐大市,匯控(00005.HK)升1.6%報59.15元,友邦(01299.HK)升2.4%,建行(00939.HK)、農行(01288.HK)及工行(01398.HK)各升1.6%至1.7%。中金發表報告指,經歷內地4月經濟的增長放緩,5月數據預計可能總體仍然溫和,其中內生動能有邊際改善,包括生產、消費、製造業投資、CPI等量價數據或有回升。而政策和外需等外生力量支撐的部分,則有所走弱,包括基建投資、出口、PPI等。 該行估計內地5月信貸需求偏弱,高基數下M2、信貸、社融增速可能繼續下行。中金預計內地5月新增信貸1.4萬億人民幣,與2021年同期大體相同,但是由於2022年5月基數較高,相比2022同期減少4,900億元人民幣。在高基數下,M2、信貸、社融的按年增速可能都將較4月有所回落,估計5月分別回落到12%、11.8%及9.9%。 【市寬呈轉弱 內房股回吐】 港股今日市寬轉弱,主板股票的升跌比率為20比19(上日34比9),恆指成份股今日52隻股份上升,下跌股份25隻,升跌比率為65比31(上日為96比4);大市今日錄沽空233.83億元,佔可沽空股份成交額869.24億元的約26.9%(上日為17.567%)。 內房股回落,合景泰富(01813.HK)跌5.4%,新城(01030.HK)、碧桂園(02007.HK)、雅居樂(03383.HK)及遠洋(03377.HK)跌3.1%至3.9%。物管股碧服(06098.HK)跌3.8%。 美銀證券發表報告指,內房股上周五(2日)因政策憧憬飆升,惟由於內地周末無公布具體的政策,該行預料內房股或回吐部分漲幅。不過,國務院在最新的政策聲明中提到加速和分階段推出政策改善商業環境,因此該行認為反映部分支持經濟政策似乎正在進行中。
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