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貝達藥業跌超19%,創新藥ETF下跌

格隆匯5月30日丨創新藥板塊盤中持續走低,貝達藥業跌超19%,科倫藥業跌超5%,亞虹醫藥華潤三九跌超3%。

ETF方面,廣發基金創新藥ETF、建信基金創新藥50ETF、南方基金創新藥指ETF、銀華基金創新藥ETF、創新藥ETF易方達、工銀瑞信基金創新藥產業ETF、摩根基金創新藥企ETF跌超1%,5月以來跌近4%。

創新藥ETF跟蹤的是中證創新藥產業指數,該指數從滬深市場主營業務涉及創新藥研發的上市公司證券中,選取不超過50只最具代表性上市公司證券作為指數樣本,以反映滬深市場創新藥產業上市公司證券的整體表現,指數前十大權重股包含恒瑞醫藥、藥明康德、智飛生物、長春高新、沃森生物、泰格醫藥等。

目前場內有7只創新藥ETF,其中銀華基金創新藥ETF最新規模81.52億,廣發基金創新藥ETF最新規模33.5億,是市場上規模最大的兩隻創新藥ETF。

創新藥下跌,消息面上,近期市面上流出的一份會議紀要顯示,康諾亞自主研發的1類新藥CM310治療中重度特應性皮炎(簡稱:AD)的III期臨牀數據已在2023年3月份揭盲,達到主要終點。但康諾亞在5月中旬與監管機構溝通後,監管方面要求康諾亞補充長期、大樣本人羣數據。換言之,CM310的上市申請將被延後。

從創新藥上市公司的業績來看(以A+H生物醫藥行業490家上市公司為樣本數據,一季報數據僅包含A股上市公司),創新藥子行業2022年實現營收總額1260億元,同比增長2.3%;實現歸母淨虧損279.9億元。2023年一季度實現營收總額86.7億元,同比增長9.1%;實現歸母淨利潤為1.6億元。

國信證券指出,創新藥公司2022年~2023年一季度的銷售仍受到疫情反覆的一定影響,集採對存量仿製藥業務的影響逐步消退,創新藥進入醫保後快速放量,預計2023年營收增速將會回升。

2023年ASCO大會將在美東時間6月2日-6月5日舉行,一批海外及中國企業將於大會上發佈重要臨牀數據。中信建投認為,ASCO是廣受關注的全球臨牀腫瘤學大會,其數據發佈具有較高的行業影響力,本次ASCO大會從口頭報吿構成看,單抗和小分子依然為主流,ADC則繼續崛起,成為第三大品類,看好創新藥產業技術驅動週期

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