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期權大單 | 機構狂買科技股,投資者提前“末日對衝”
uSMART盈立智投 05-17 16:56

市場概覽 (5月16日)

美股週二收跌,市場關注美國債務上限談判的進展。道瓊斯指數跌1.01%,標普500指數跌0.64%,納斯達克指數跌0.18%。

當日美股期權市場總成交量33,007,890張合約。其中,看漲期權佔比52%,看跌期權佔比48%。

期權成交總量TOP10

排名前十的依然是指數ETF+熱門科技股。特斯拉排在第三的位置。消息面上,當地時間5月16日週二,特斯拉在美國得州奧斯汀的工廠召開今年的年度股東大會。特斯拉CEO馬斯克在大會上說,他預計,未來12個月內,將持續存在具有挑戰性的經濟環境,許多公司會破產。但他相信,在那之後,經濟將會復甦,特斯拉將處於有利地位。

本次股東大會上,馬斯克對特斯拉旗下車型做出預測。他說,特斯拉的Model Y將成爲“今年地球上銷量第一的汽車”。馬斯克還提到電動皮卡Cybertruck,承諾將在今年晚些時候交付量產Cybertruck。

本次股東大會並未對特斯拉股價產生明顯影響,當日微漲0.1%。周內期權交易多空交織,價格區間不大,缺乏方向性指引。

除了特斯拉之外,熱門科技股的期權交易連續出現在榜單前列。宏觀方面,隨着美國經濟風險加大,市場對美聯儲結束緊縮的期待越來越強烈。爲了搶跑“QE/降息”,美國機構投資者選擇了“高久期”資產:科技股。其中,機構投資者對於科技股的配置環比飆升14%達到淨16%的超配。科技股配置比重自3月以來飆升了22%,這是09年3月以來最大幅度的增持。

 

繫好安全帶!市場正在進行“末日對衝”

在華盛頓,兩黨在債務上限的扯皮正有可能將美國推向違約。早在2011年,類似的僵局導致美國政府的信用評級遭到前所未有的下調,標普500指數在10天內下跌16%,而VIX指數則大幅攀升。

對波動性對衝的需求預示着6月份的市場動盪。在通脹維持高位、經濟衰退警燈閃亮、國際形勢複雜緊張的情況下,股市能抗住壓力嗎?購買保護措施似乎是一種必然選擇。

雖然美國的債務上限問題仍可能在最後時刻“懸崖勒馬”,但是對波動率指數期權的需求顯然在增加,防範極端事件的需求依然存在。

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