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繫好安全帶!遊戲ETF今日暴升7%,年內升幅高達90%

今日A股三大指數走弱,截至午間收盤,滬指微跌0.15%,深成指微跌0.39%,創業板指繼續回調居前,跌逾1%。盤面上,人工智能與成長賽道股的蹺蹺板效應依舊存在,其中游戲、傳媒板塊一掃上週五頹勢,強勢霸屏升幅榜第一。

A股中,星輝娛樂“20CM”升停,遊族網絡一字板升停,三七互娛逼近升停,完美世界、湯姆貓升超7%。

ETF中,遊戲相關的ETF更是升勢逼人。國泰遊戲ETF暴升7.37%,華夏遊戲ETF升7.21%,華夏遊戲動漫ETF升7%。

 目前市場上共有5只遊戲相關ETF,其中華夏中證動漫遊戲ETF規模最大,最新規模為41.91億元,跟蹤中證動漫遊戲指數。

中證動漫遊戲指數僅有29只成分股,均為動畫、漫畫、遊戲等相關細分娛樂產業的上市公司,相關個股在今年均累積了巨大的升幅。其中巨人網絡年度升幅逼近100%,完美世界年內升幅高達75%,三七互娛年內升幅高達60%。

今年以來,遊戲板塊在困境反轉和AIGC賦能的浪潮下開始暴升模式,其中不少資金選擇借道ETF佈局遊戲板塊。

截至4月24日,華夏遊戲ETF的年度升幅高達90%,份額更是暴增22億份。國泰遊戲ETF和華泰柏瑞的年度升幅也逼近90%,其中國泰遊戲ETF今年份額增加近3億份。

綜合來看,今日遊戲、傳媒板塊率先引領人工智能板塊開啟反彈模式,主要還是得益於兩大邏輯。

第一是監管壓力趨緩,政策端預期穩定。自從去年11月官媒人民網喊話:“深挖電子遊戲產業價值機不可失!”從精神鴉片躍升成為前沿科技密不可分的一份子,遊戲行業正在迎來最大的政策暖意。

最明顯的表現就是版號發放延續常態化趨勢,4月國產遊戲版號下發,合計86款產品獲批,持平22年12月以來水平。

版號的加速發放,改善了遊戲行業的供需格局。一些新遊戲也可以提上日程,整個遊戲行業的供給端就進入了良性循環。

行業在經過長期時間的深度回調後具備困境反轉的邏輯,板塊具備超跌修復的空間。

第二是AIGC賦能遊戲行業降本增效,豐富遊戲內容。開源證券指出,大模型將推動AIGC在遊戲研發、測試、運營、客服等環節應用加快,可以明顯降本。更重要的是AIGC能夠大幅豐富遊戲內容、增強交互性。

不過短期來看,從週五科技板塊的全軍覆沒到今日遊戲、傳媒板塊的快速暴升反彈。一日暴升一日暴跌反映出資金在人工智能板塊的分歧巨大,這也就意味着在資金存量的空間下,人工智能板塊後續的交易節奏仍然會保持較大的震盪。

華西證券傳媒行業首席分析師趙琳在格隆彙集結令《日前舉辦的智辯:Alx新時代,千行百業誰是超級主角?》活動中提到“回顧十年前移動互聯網帶動的TMT行情,升幅領先的傳媒企業本身有業績兑現驗證的支持,我們因此認為,儘管市場在產業革命前期對業績的容忍度很高,但情緒過熱必將帶來調整,潮水褪去時唯有兼具純正技術賦能邏輯及業績基本面的優質標的能夠仰泳。”

對於遊戲板塊的投資價值,銀河證券指出,短期來看,隨着新一輪產品週期開啟,盈利端疊加政策端釋放的積極信號有望提振遊戲行業估值。長期來看,AIGC有望幫助遊戲廠商實現場景和原畫的低成本、高質量地批量生產,從而實現遊戲廠商的降本提效。

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