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《瑞銀窩輪》美國長期利淡因素不容忽視 看淡留意納指熊證(49718)
週二港股雖未能延續週一升勢,卻仍守在大部份平均線之上,10天線自週一開始升穿50天線,反映後市仍然向好。資金睇好恆指為多,大部分投資者用貼價牛證部署,重倉位於較近現貨水平,即20200至20350點之位置。加上中國第一季度GDP同比增長4.5%,高於前值和預期,而最近不少中資股如「三桶油」、中芯(0981)及中資電訊股均走勢不俗,中資股亦已佔恆指不少比重,實為利好港股一大因素。如投資者看好恆指,可留意恆指認購(11668),行使價22400點,23年8月到期,有效槓桿約11倍。如投資者看好恆指,可留意恆指牛證(60185),收回價20050點,23年7月到期,有效槓桿約29倍。 美國股市進入業績期,上週五幾間大型銀行業績不錯,令市場對銀行危機的憂慮稍緩。道指走勢偏強處於2月中以來的高位,納指亦只距一年高位14277點大概8%左右。客觀來看,美國信貸緊縮,紐約聯儲2月份一項調查顯示信貸申請率下降,同時間信貸拒絕率亦有下降跡象,此現象反映信貸需求減少,即就算聯儲局開始減息,對改善美國經濟衰退效用亦甚微。再加上美國十年期及兩年期債息倒掛多時,美國債務又屢觸及上限,長期利淡因素不容忽視,輪場資金亦是高位做淡多。如投資者看淡道指,可留意道指認沽(10803),行使價30000點,23年9月到期,有效槓桿約11倍。 如投資者看淡道指,可留意道指熊證(49644),收回價35500點,24年3月到期,有效槓桿約19倍。如投資者看淡納指,可留意納指認沽(10801),行使價10100點,23年9月到期,有效槓桿約8.4倍。如投資者看淡納指,可留意納指熊證(49718),收回價14000點,24年12月到期,有效槓桿約13倍。 上海車展今日開鑼,汽車股板塊走強,卻有消息傳出有份開發智能電動車的百度 (09888) 的集度汽車被拒參與上海車展,其後遭集度汽車否認。如投資者看淡百度,可留意百度熊證(59905),收回價148港元,24年2月到期,有效槓桿約6.2倍。那邊箱,可參展的比亞迪(01211)及小鵬汽車(09868)亦推出新車,比亞迪週二大部分時間報跌並在230港元附近上落,小鵬亦由早市高走後午市轉跌,反映車展的相關利好消息已被完全消化。如投資者看淡小鵬,可留意小鵬熊證(51339),收回價50港元,24年1月到期,有效槓桿約5.7倍。如投資者看淡比迪,可留意比迪熊證(52309),收回價255港元,24年1月到期,有效槓桿約8.0倍。 更多窩輪牛熊資訊:瑞銀認股證牛熊證網站: http://www.ubs.com/hkwarrants 輪證教學及巿況焦點短片: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCKw86qy4eBAInmd52MND45Q?view_as=subscriber 瑞銀認股證牛熊證團隊 本產品並無抵押品。 如發行人無力償債或違約,投資者可能無法收回部份或全部應收款項。筆者為UBS AG的代表(作為證監會持牌人),並未持有相關上市公司的任何財務權益。本資料由瑞銀刊發,其並不構成買賣建議、邀請、要約或遊說。結構性產品價格可急升或急跌,投資者可能會蒙受全盤損失。過往表現並不反映將來表現。牛熊證備強制贖回機制而可能被提早終止,屆時 (i) N類牛熊證投資者將不獲發任何金額;而(ii) R類牛熊證之剩餘價值可能為零。投資前應瞭解有關風險,並諮詢專業顧問及查閱有關上市檔。UBS Securities Hong Kong Limited為結構性產品之流通量提供者,亦可能是唯一報價者或巿場參與者。(C) UBS 2023。版權所有。~ 重要聲明: 以上資訊由第三方提供,AASTOCKS.com Limited對於任何包含於、經由、連結、下載或從任何與本網站有關服務所獲得之資訊、內容或廣告,不聲明或保證其內容之正確性或可靠性。對於您透過本網站上之廣告、資訊或要約而展示、購買或取得之任何產品、資訊資料,本公司亦不負品質保證之責任。
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