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植耀輝:港股21,000點阻力不易破 今日焦點內地經濟數據
耀才證券研究部總監植耀輝稱,美股三大指數隔晚(17日)上升,投資者續消化美企季績消息,美股大致靠穩,當中道指回升100點或0.3%,收報33,987點,標普500指數及納指則分別升0.33%及0.28%。今日(18日)續有多間公司公布業績,市場焦點亦繼續集中業績股身上。 至於港股方面,昨日表現相當不俗,在內地今日公布重磅經濟數據之前,A股及港股市皆有好表現,滬綜指急升1.4%,恆指亦在匯控(00005.HK)及一眾科技股午後反彈下上升343點或1.68%,升至月內高位。後市能否再作突破,須視乎A股能否維持強勢,若以成交角度A股已連續10個交易日突破萬億元人民幣,反映投資氣氛仍相當不俗,對後市亦會有所支持。今日內地亦將公布一系列經濟數據,表現亦會對後市有一定啟示。另外則宜繼續留意250天/月線,亦即19,760點及21,070點所在,一日未升穿/跌破該水平,相信恆指仍只會維持上落市情況。 (筆者為證監會持牌人,並未持有相關股份) ********** 觀望內地經濟數據 恆指20,500點整固 耀才研究部稱,美股隔晚(17日)大致靠穩,三大指數升幅介乎0.28%至0.33%,投資者繼續關注美企業績表現。而反映中概股表現之金龍指數則造好,上升3.2%。 A股及港股在內地公布一系列重磅經濟數據前夕造好,上綜指升幅達到1.4%,港股亦扭轉早段跌勢,午後升幅更一度擴大至426點,收市亦升343點,逼近20,800點水平。另外,資金重回舊經濟股身上,匯控(00005.HK)及中移動(00941.HK)股價雙雙造好,「三桶油」更齊創新高,另科技股走勢亦見改善。若短期內A股能持續有好表現,港股亦有望受惠,不過安踏(02020.HK)配股消息或利淡投資氣氛,預期恆指或先於20,500點附近整固,待出現更多利好消息後始有望挑戰21,000點關口。 技術分析方面,恆指昨日走勢有所突破,以大陽燭姿態造好,並升至月內高位,另外MACD亦出現「雙牛」形態,走勢有望進一步改善,但預期250月線(約21,000點)仍會有較大阻力,後市須突破此水平始有望確立新升勢。 (筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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