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A股收評:滬指升0.60%,半導體、貴金屬全天強勢,傳媒、遊戲下挫

今日,三大指數集體上升,滬指升0.60%,報3338點,深成指升0.51%,創業板指升0.93%,兩市上升2655股,下跌2102股,兩市成交額超1.1萬億,北上淨買入64億元。

盤面上,四重邏輯共振,半導體全天強勢,北方華創、中微公司、晶方科技升超10%。美、荷、日相繼加碼制裁,半導體設備國產替代邏輯持續強化。擴產預期上修靜待招標啟動,半導體景氣復甦同樣利好設備。政策扶持利好持續落地,大基金二期投資重新啟動。AI算力需求持續提升,半導體設備承接AI擴散行情。貴金屬板塊全天領升,山東黃金、恒邦股份升超2%。昨日強勢互聯網電商、酒店、餐飲、旅遊板塊全線下跌。

具體來看:

芯片股升幅居前,北方華創升停,報價314.61元,拓荊科技、耐科裝備、聯動科技20CM升停,芯源微、微導納米、華海清科、盛美上海等多股升超11%,中芯國際升超7%。

消息面上,國務院總理李強在北京市調研獨角獸企業發展情況。李強總理指出,要加快芯片研發製造等關鍵核心技術攻關,着力穩定產業鏈供應鏈,打造更多具有話語權的產品和技術,推動產業發展實現更大突破。此外,北方華創預計,一季度歸母淨利潤為5.6億元–6.2億元,同比增長171.24%-200.30%。

貴金屬板塊大升,中潤資源、四川黃金升停,山東黃金、西部黃金升超3%。

消息面上,昨日,現貨黃金一日大升30美元,逼近2050美元/盎司,為去年3月來最高水平。分析指出,美國經濟今年可能陷入衰退,以及美聯儲停止加息或導致未來幾年通脹持續高企,創造了一個有利於金價上升的環境。但目前也有一些業內人士呼籲投資者保持相對理性。對於金價而言,目前最大的一個風險其實仍是對美聯儲的降息押注會否落空。

鋰礦概念表現活躍,永興材料升停,贛鋒鋰業、天齊鋰業、久吾高科、盛新鋰能升超5%,中創新航、洪橋集團、超威動力等跟升。

消息面上,據上海有色網發佈的數據顯示,4月13日鋰電材料報價全線下跌,碳酸鋰(99.5%電池級/國產)跌2500元/噸,報195500元/噸,今年迄今累計跌幅近62%。多位業內人士預計,隨着鋰價不斷走低,鋰礦企業將迎來洗牌,部分中小礦企將退出市場,未來行業集中度會進一步提升。

汽車股衝高回落,中集汽車升超18%報13.93元,長城汽車升超7%,亞星客車、長安汽車升超3%,賽力斯、廣汽集團等跟升。

消息面上,中集車輛預計,一季度淨利潤4.22億元-5.16億元,同比增239%-314%。公司2022年全年淨利潤同比增24%。在北美經濟政策刺激與多式聯運業務迅猛增長背景下,公司北美業務盈利保持良好增長態勢。

AI概念股集體下挫,遊戲、傳媒、電商等應用方向領跌。慈文傳媒、奧飛娛樂跌停,值得買跌超10%,中文傳媒跌超9%,新經典、三人行、聯絡互動、果麥文化等跟跌。

旅遊股走勢分化,曲江文旅再度升停,斬獲五連板;嶺南控股、九華旅遊、大連聖亞等跌幅居前。

今日,北上資金淨流入87.65億元,其中滬股通淨流入33.62億元 ,深股通淨流入54.03億元。

展望未來,海通證券認為,A股處在牛市初期,第一波上升結束後或進入震盪蓄勢階段。短暫回調不改牛市格局,修整蓄勢期也是牛市主升浪的佈局區。行業層面,近期階段性熱度過高的數字經濟或遭遇波折,但當前仍處在數字經濟發展的大週期中,短期波折或正孕育着佈局良機,需關注以政策為主導的數字基建、數據安全領域,和技術驅動下企業或加大資本開支的人工智能領域。此外,近期 “中特估”整體股價表現較為亮眼,背後更多源於概念炒作帶來低估值的國央企估值修復,隨着市場情緒逐漸冷靜後,未來行情可能出現分化,調整後應關注真正具備中國特色的持續性機會,如盈利韌性強、成長確定性高、現金分紅優的領域。

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