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港股午評:恒指跌0.5%2萬點失而復得,內房股大肆回落

格隆匯4月13日丨受隔夜美股下跌影響,港股今日大幅低開,上午盤指數跌幅明顯收窄,恒生科技指數一度跌2.7%,午間收跌1.11%,恒指、國指分別跌0.5%和0.62%,恒指2萬點失而復得。 南下資金半日淨流入27.68億港元,大市成交額為618億港元。

盤面上,大型科技股低迷拖累大市走低,京東跌3%,阿里巴巴跌超2%,美團、網易、小米、百度皆有跌幅,騰訊逆勢飄紅;近日連續走強的內房股大肆下跌,融創中國復牌領銜下挫,碧桂園等均回落,建材水泥股、濠賭股、餐飲股、汽車股、半導體股等熱門板塊齊跌。 另一方面,藥品股逆勢走俏,中醫藥股方向領升,機構預計Q2油運公司業績有望大幅增長,港口及海運股普升,煤炭股、電信股、石油股部分走強。

板塊方面

內房股大肆回落,行業復甦持續性仍待觀察。中金公司指出,居民貸款的明顯反彈是消費和房地產恢復的必然結果,但是更重要的可能是信貸增長的持續性。該機構認為,居民貸款增長可能仍面臨反覆。從高頻數據來看,4月份地產銷量已經有所放緩,預計4月份居民貸款增量會再度回落。

港口及航運股普升,機構預計Q2油運公司業績有望大幅增長。國泰君安發佈研報稱,隨着對俄製裁執行,俄歐油運貿易“捨近求遠”驅動油運需求顯著增長,疊加中國煉廠開工率提升,下半年市場迎來超預期復甦。該行預計一季度油運公司業績將有望超市場預期。考慮VLCC運價自2月上衝並維持高位波動,且MR運價自3月開始回升,預計Q2油運公司業績料將大概率環比Q1大幅增長。

石油股走強,隔夜油價創今年新高。市場憧憬美國政府將要回補戰略石油儲備,國際油價連續第2天上揚,創下今年新高。隔夜美油升逾2%,報83.26美元/桶創五個月新高,布油逾十週高位。

個股方面

中集車輛盤中大升超14%,預計一季度淨利潤增239%至314%。中集車輛昨日盤後公吿,公司預計截至2023年3月31日止三個月集團合併歸屬於上市公司股東的淨利潤區間為人民幣42,201.5萬元至人民幣51,579.6萬元,比上年同期增長239%至314%;歸屬於上市公司股東的扣除非經常性損益的淨利潤預計盈利人民幣41,756.8萬元至人民幣51,134.9萬元,比上年同期增長303%至393%。

明源雲跌超6%續刷階段低價,年內累跌高達35%。瑞銀報吿指出,中國一季度住房銷售仍同比下降7%,由於樓市由一、二線城市領升,故銷售額超預期。個別低線城市的開發商3月應占銷售額同比下降50%,一季度銷售額降幅達38%。公司此前公佈的2022年股東應占虧損11.54億元,同比大增2.36倍。期內開工下降,數字化投入減少,公司收入下降。

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