《即日市評》恆指長假前反覆升 中芯及黃金股受捧
市場關注美國經濟數據走弱,港股今日(6日)反覆造好。俗稱「小非農」的美國3月ADP私人就業職位數增加14.5萬個(較2月新增職位少11.6萬個),低於市場原預期增20萬個;執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率跌至3.277厘,美匯指數升至101.97,道指期貨最新微升5點或0.01%,納指期貨最新跌0.19%。3月財新中國服務業PMI升至57.8,創28個月新高,上證綜指今日微升不足1點,收3,312點,深證成指升0.06%,滬深兩市成交額共1.19萬億元人民幣。
恆指低開128點,初段曾跌175點,其後曾倒升69點一度高見20,343點,全日升56點或0.28%,收20,331點;國指升18點或0.27%,收6,894點;恆生科技指數升4點或0.1%,收4,237點。大市全日成交總額1,016.86億元,滬、深港通南下交易淨流入25.45億及30.14億元人民幣。商湯-W(00020.HK)全日反覆升2.2%收3.33元,成交額逾58億元。騰訊(00700.HK)微升0.1%,阿里-SW(09988.HK)則升近2.2%,金股有支持,紫金(02899.HK)及中國黃金國際(02099.HK)各漲5.3%及近18%。港股明天(7日)及下周一(10日)因耶穌受難節及復活節假期休市。
恆指本周因清明節及耶穌受難節假期僅三個交易日,恆指本周累跌68點或0.3%、國指本周累跌74點或1.1%、恆生科指本周累跌66點或1.5%。OPEC+意外宣布減產令市場憂或推高通脹,美國財長耶倫指此或增加全球經濟增長的不確定性,投資者續關注美國經濟及通脹情況。
【黃金股上揚 中芯受追捧】
晶片股今日續受追捧,中芯國際(00981.HK)全日股價彈上7.7%收22.45元,華虹半導體(01347.HK)股價上揚3.6%。國家網信辦近日宣布,將對美國儲存晶片廠商美光科技(MU.US)在華銷售的產品實施網絡安全審查,里昂發表研究報告指,預測美光接受中國當局調查一事的結果是言之尚早,但預期最壞情況下,若美光需要暫停在中國的銷售,可能會對內存行業造成重大的短期干擾。
里昂估計,內地客戶或會因為擔憂對供應鏈造成影響,而尋求提早補貨以增加內存庫存,更有可能轉向三星電子(005930.KS)或海力士(000660.KS)購買相關產品。
【市寬續疲弱 內房股受壓】
港股主板市寬續弱,主板股票的升跌比率為17比22(上日為18比22);恆指成份股今日41隻股份上升,下跌股份30隻,升跌比率為54比39(上日為42比52)。大市今日錄沽空133.71億元,佔可沽空股份成交額897.82億元的約14.9%(上日為16.194%)。
內房股走軟,新城(01030.HK)及遠洋集團(03377.HK)股價各下跌3.6%及4.8%,龍湖(00960.HK)走低2.5%。碧桂園(02007.HK)3月份合同銷售額跌近17%,全日股價跌2.4%。
摩根大通發表報告指,內房行業基本面並未惡化,但由於大幅寬鬆政策的可能性愈來愈低,相信今年第二季沒有明顯的催化劑,故預計行業在今年次季將保持區間波動,並跑輸MSCI中國指數。該行相信,要待內地新開工量顯著回升、寬鬆政策轉強及銷售額較過去三年平均水平相比下出現正增長時,行業才會「跑贏大市」。在開發商中,該行首選中國海外(00688.HK)、華潤置地(01109.HK)、保利發展(600048.SH);物管方面則首選保利物業(06049.HK)、中海物業(02669.HK)、華潤萬象生活(01209.HK)。該行指,對所有陷入困境的公司均保持審慎態度。
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