《即日市評》恆指「三連升」中石油揚逾7%破頂
今日為期指結算日,港股反覆造好。有美國共和黨眾議員透露周三與聯儲局主席鮑威爾私人會面,鮑威爾指今年或再加息一次,美股道指及納指隔晚各升1%及1.8%;市場關注美國今晚將公布去年第四季核心個人消費支出物價指數(PCE),執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率跌至3.575厘,美匯指數跌至102.38,道指期貨最新升150點或0.46%,納指期貨最新升0.27%。國務院總理李強於博鰲亞洲論壇表示中國經濟增長動能和態勢強勁,上證綜指今日升21點或0.65%收3,261點,深證成指升0.62%,滬深兩市成交額共9,447億人民幣。
恆指高開24點,早段曾跌175點見20,017點,隨後掉頭回升,全日升116點或0.58%,收20,309點,連升三日(累升741點或3.8%);國指全日升43點或0.64%,收6,922點;恆生科技指數升23點或0.56%,收4,270點。大市全日成交總額1,335.94億元,滬、深港通南下交易淨流入20.66億及17.76億元人民幣。科網股走個別,阿里巴巴(009988.HK)全日股價升近2.5%,但阿里健康(00241.HK)下滑7.9%,而騰訊(00700.HK)微升0.05%,美團(03690.HK)升1.4%。建行(00939.HK)公布去年業績後全日股價跌近0.6%。
【恆指三連升 中石油破頂】
中石油(00857.HK)股價彈高7.8%收4.68元。高盛表示,中石油去年業績大致符合預期,派息高於指引,公司自由現金流按年增長88%,去年派息比率由指引的45%上調至52%,股息回報達11厘,公司發布獨立非執行董事同意將股份回購方案提交公司股東大會進一步審議的通知,表明公司未來或進行股份回購和更積極市值管理的可能性,維持「買入」(「確信買入」名單)及目標價5.8元。
摩根士丹利表示,中石油宣布史上首次的股份回購計劃,並上調去年派息比率至52%,今年亦計劃削減資本開支,相信消息對其股價影響正面,維持「增持」評級及目標價5.5元。
【市寬續向好 碧服受追捧】
港股主板市寬向好,主板股票的升跌比率為21比20(上日為22比19);恆指成份股今日45隻股份上升,下跌股份27隻,升跌比率為59比36(上日為65比33)。大市今日錄沽空209.76億元,佔可沽空股份成交額1,17496億元的17.853%(上日為19.916%)。
碧桂園(02007.HK)公布去年業績後,全日股價升5.1%收2.28元,碧桂園服務(06098.HK)股價抽上7.4%收14.44元。摩根士丹利發表研究報告指,碧桂園服務去年業績符合預期,派發特別股息為市場帶來驚喜,管理層亦將今年盈利目標定為按年增長10%以上。
大摩同時關注未來潛在的減值或項目終止,指出碧桂園服務去年共計減值31億元人民幣,雖然管理層認為短期內商譽進一步減值的可能性較低,但仍建議投資者留意第三方貸款和貿易應收賬款的任何潛在風險。予目標價21.98元,評級「增持」。
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