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高盛:生成式AI或衝擊主要經濟體3億全職職位
阿思達克 03-28 16:13
高盛發表報告,指人工智能(AI)最新突破將導致歐美有四分之一的工作邁向自動化。 報告稱,生成式AI系統如ChatGPT產出與人類產出難以區分,將刺激生產力爆發,在未來十年每年提振全球GDP約7%。 不過,如生成式AI如期普及,則料對勞工市場帶來重大干擾,在主要經濟體有3億全職員工將受到波及。律師及行政員工面對的威脅最大。 據以千計職業通常工作數據估算,報告料歐美約三分之二職位一定程度上受到AI自動化影響。大部分人員料看到只有少於一半的工作量可以自動化,將會繼續從事職業,並騰出更多時間進行生產活動。 高盛估算美國有63%勞動人口符合上述推論。另有約30%體力勞動及戶外工作勞動人口將不受影響,即使他們的工作或面對其他形式的自動化。不過,美國有7%勞動人口的工作最少一半可以由生成式AI完成,未來恐面對裁員風險。
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