《即日市評》恆指回升 百度及航運股起舞
受金融及科網股帶動,港股今日(15日)回升。美國公布2月消費物價指數按年升6%符市場預期,扣除食品及能源的核心消費物價,按年升幅5.5%,按月升0.5%;美股道指及納指隔晚各升1.1%及2.1%;執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率升至3.676厘,美匯指數處於103.69,道指期貨最新跌55點或0.17%,納指期貨最新升0.16%。內地公布首兩個月規模以上工業增加值按年增2.4%略遜預期、首兩月社會消費品零售總額按年升3.5%符預期、首兩月城鎮固定資產投資按年升5.5%。上證綜指今日升18點或0.55%收3,263點,深證成指跌0.03%,滬深兩市成交額共8,184億元人民幣。
恆指高開275點,早段曾升497點一度高見19,745點,其後升幅收窄至183點見19,431點,全日升291點或1.5%,收19,539點;國指升120點或1.9%,收6,559點;恆生科技指數升75點或2%,收3,866點。大市全日成交總額1,080.56億元,滬、深港通南下交易淨流入27.41億及24.73億元人民幣。匯控(00005.HK)及渣打(02888.HK)股價各上揚近2.9%及2.1%,建行(00939.HK)漲2.6%。
【匯控呈回升 百度有支持】
阿里-SW(09988.HK)股價走高2.6%,騰訊(00700.HK)升0.9%,美團-W(03690.HK)升1%。京東-SW(09618.HK)及快手-W(01024.HK)各升2.4%及2.5%。百度-SW(09888.HK)明日(16日)發布「文心一言」,今日股價抽高3.6%。百度明天(16日)將就「文心一言」召開發布會。麥格理發表報告,預計「文心一言」將成為百度多個周期的增長故事,投資者應關注其發展路線圖。
麥格理認為,「文心一言」推出時的明確定義和有限範圍,助減輕出現Google Bard首次亮相時意外錯誤的概率。此外,百度強勁的人工智能能力來自於多年來投入大量資源,預計在「文心一言」推出後的幾個月內,新的商業和貨幣化戰略將成為百度股價表現的關鍵催化劑,與百度搜索的整合將可能扭轉其廣告市場份額的損失,並增強搜索以外新的變現機會。
【升股千二隻 航運股起舞】
港股主板市寬向好,主板股票的升跌比率為28比12(上日為10比33),上升股份1,207隻(升幅3.3%);恆指成份股今日61隻股份上升,下跌股份14隻,升跌比率為80比18(上日為12比87)。大市今日錄沽空203.46億元,佔可沽空股份成交額924.63億元的22.005%(上日為18.768%)。
波羅的海乾散貨指數(BDI)連升18個交易日(累升近兩倍),航運股今日受捧,東方海外(00316.HK)股價抽升8.8%,中遠海控(01919.HK)及太平洋航運(02343.HK)股價各彈高6.8%及6.9%,而中遠海能(01138.HK)亦揚5.2%。
摩根大通發表報告指出,最近投資者對集裝箱和散貨航運股的興趣回升,儘管有關行業於去年出現大幅調整,但在消費支出重新轉向服務/旅行和大幅去庫存的情況下,消除疫情不利因素,令港口堵塞問題放緩及即期運費暴跌。該行指出,其所覆蓋的中遠海控、東方海外及長榮三隻亞洲航運股,本年至今股價跑輸國際同業,估值吸引。
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