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郭思治:大市急跌 惟本月形態暫未變
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,受美股周二(7日)大幅急跌所累(道指急跌575點至32,856點,納指亦急跌145點至11,530點),港股昨日(8日)亦明顯受壓,恆指昨早市先低開278點至20,256點,其後曾稍為後抽至20,269點,但在買盤薄弱下,整個大市卒再反覆受壓,在零碎沽壓不斷湧現下,恆指繼跌穿10天線(約在20,290點左近)之後,更一度稍跌穿20,000點大關而低見19,969點,即此刻大市已急回565點,惟大市雖大幅急跌,但並未有跌穿本月1日之低位19,849點,故單從形態上看,本月大市暫仍屬先低而後高。 惟有一點需留意,雖恆指暫仍未有跌穿本月1日之低位19,849點,但由於恆指目前已反覆於50天線(20,959點),20天線(20,617點)及10天線(20,290點)之下,故單從技術上看,整個大市確已漸呈欲試低位之弱態,但要指出的是,目前恆指距10天線其實並不遠,只要大市能出現約300點左右之反彈,已可再重越10天線,故如現在才開倉做淡,技術上確存在被挾之風險。 股份走勢方面,中資電訊股,中資基建股及內銀股等未來之表現該會優於大市,由於估值普遍較低,加上股息相對較高,相信該會成為資金追捧的對象。 (筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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