《瑞銀窩輪》加息預期升溫美股向下 看淡留意納指沽10717
美國即將公布一系列的經濟數據包括芝加哥採購經理指數以及諮商會消費者信心指數等,在數據公布前因為通脹壓力仍大,以及美國新屋銷售增長仍然強勁,市場對加息的預期偏鷹,芝商斯數據亦顯示未來兩次議息會議均加息0.5厘的機會率有所上升,加上俄烏沖突一周年仍未見平息跡象,美國再擴大對俄羅斯的制裁,均為淡友提供造淡的誘因。
道指上週五向下,已失守33000點大關,還需留意指數會否在上年12月下旬的低位約32500點左右位置覓得支持;而納指的跌幅更多,始終科技或新經濟股受加息環境的打擊比較明顯,上週五納指出現十字星,雖然為市場普遍認為的有機會轉向的訊號,不過納指暫在12000點上落,此位置正為去年第4季的阻力,自一月底始突破,能否重上此位置之上仍為關鍵。如投資者看淡納指,可留意納指認沽10717,行使價10758點,23年6月到期,有效槓桿約8.9倍。如投資者看淡道指,可留意道指認沽10757,行使價31350點,23年6月到期,有效槓桿約11.倍。不過由於市場對加息預期偏鷹,萬一本星期的經濟數據反映通脹以及經濟放緩,或拖累加息步伐,從而令早已因為市場預期大幅加息而先行受壓的美股得到支持,所以投資者宜兩手準備。如投資者看好納指,可留意納指認購10705,行使價12858點,23年6月到期,有效槓桿約10.倍。如投資者看好道指,可留意道指認購10805,行使價37180點,23年9月到期,有效槓桿約14.倍。
另外週一恆指繼續窄幅上落,股份個別發展,ATM中的騰訊(0700)以及阿里(9988)先跌後升再在高位受壓,唯有美團(3690)一枝獨秀,整日大部分時間在135港元之上得到支持。如投資者看好美團,可留意美團認購13519,行使價168.98港元,23年6月到期,有效槓桿約5.8倍。
更多窩輪牛熊資訊:瑞銀認股證牛熊證網站: http://www.ubs.com/hkwarrants
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