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港股午評:恒指跌0.75%下破2萬點,海底撈發盈喜一度“狂飆”20%

格隆匯2月27日丨港股衝高回落再度下跌,恒指2萬點大關得而復失,午間收跌0.75%,國指跌0.81%,恒生科技指數跌1.17%,盤初三者再度刷新調整低價。南下資金半日淨流入42.2億港元,大市成交額為628億港元。

盤面上,大型科技股漲跌參半,小米跌3%,騰訊、京東小幅走低,百度漲2%,美團、快手漲超1%;教育股跌勢不止,在線教育方向領跌,新東方在線跌超6%;蘋果概念股、建材水泥股、家電股、半導體股黃金股等有色金屬紛紛下挫。 另一方面,受海底撈盈喜大漲逾13%帶動,餐飲股逆勢走強,電信設備股拉昇,中興通訊大漲超8%表現搶眼。

板塊方面

海底撈發盈喜一度“狂飆”20%,帶動餐飲股上漲。大摩發研報指,由發佈業績支撐,料海底撈未來45天內有逾80%概率股價上升,維持目標價24港元,並予“增持”評級。公司預計核心淨利潤逾9.7億元(不包括一次性利潤3.29億元),遠高於該行預測(3.76億元)。業績主要由利潤率帶動,反映成本控制措施帶來的經營槓桿較預期更強勁及迅速。該行預計市場將基於超預期的利潤率上調2023年盈利預測。該行的2023年淨利潤預測接近市場區間的高端,較市場預期高出23%。

有色金屬股下跌,美大幅加息預期增強。通脹意外火爆強化鷹派預期,華爾街著名經濟學家和學者一致認為,美聯儲可能需要將利率提高至6.5%以遏制通脹。上週國際貴金屬期貨普跌,黃金期貨周跌1.74%,白銀期貨周跌4.49%。

個股方面

中興通訊(0763.HK)漲超8%,世界移動通信大會今日召開,市場聚焦衞星通信。2023年MWC(世界移動通信大會)將於2月27日至3月2日在巴塞羅那召開。行業普遍認為,2023年到2024年,衞星通信或將成為旗艦手機標配。隨着手機等新興領域的大規模採用,衞星通信市場規模有望快速上升。

多重利空壓頂,金蝶國際(0268.HK)跌超7%。上週五恒指季檢公佈,金蝶國際未被納入恒生綜合指數成分股。日前預期2022年虧損介乎約3.63億元至約4.23億元之間。此外,2月23日南下資金淨賣出公司472.90萬股,且錄得連續3日減持。

中國心連心化肥跌超8%,4日回撤15%。上週五恒指季檢顯示,公司未獲納入恒生綜合指數。日前發改委文件提到了要保持化肥合理進銷差價,主動讓利於農民。另外,文件還明確了淨化化肥市場經營環境,各地市場監管部門要加大化肥市場監管力度。

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