You are browsing the Hong Kong website, Regulated by Hong Kong SFC (CE number: BJA907). Investment is risky and you must be cautious when entering the market.
瑞銀:今年內地居民消費名義增長率為10%至11% 實際增長7.8%
阿思達克 02-23 12:03
瑞銀投資銀行亞洲經濟研究主管暨首席中國經濟學家汪濤表示,UBS Evidence Lab在春節後進行新一期「把脈消費」調查,顯示百城交通擁堵指數和地鐵客運量均回升至疫前水平,但居民對出行仍較謹慎、特別是跨地區出行,而市內出行和消費的復甦更快,並顯示節後復工速度有所加快,表明疫情對供應端擾動有限。 汪濤表示,隨著12月下旬以來疫情感染逐漸消退,預計消費活動會進一步常態化,消費從線上切換至線下的趨勢可能貫穿2023年。 汪濤表示,工作穩定性是提振2023年消費最關鍵的因素,其次是經濟重啟和收入增長,而超額儲蓄的釋放也很重要,並預計隨著經濟重啟和勞動力市場復甦,收入反彈或是今年消費復甦最主要的驅動力,而儲蓄率下降或提振消費4至5個百分點。總體而言,該行預計2023年中國居民消費名義增長率為10%至11%,實際增長7.8%。消費行為進一步恢復常態和超額儲蓄更多釋放或有助於支撐2024年及以後的消費復甦。(ca/k) ~
Follow us
Find us on Facebook, Twitter , Instagram, and YouTube or frequent updates on all things investing.Have a financial topic you would like to discuss? Head over to the uSMART Community to share your thoughts and insights about the market! Click the picture below to download and explore uSMART app!
Disclaimers
uSmart Securities Limited (“uSmart”) is based on its internal research and public third party information in preparation of this article. Although uSmart uses its best endeavours to ensure the content of this article is accurate, uSmart does not guarantee the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the information of this article and is not responsible for any views/opinions/comments in this article. Opinions, forecasts and estimations reflect uSmart’s assessment as of the date of this article and are subject to change. uSmart has no obligation to notify you or anyone of any such changes. You must make independent analysis and judgment on any matters involved in this article. uSmart and any directors, officers, employees or agents of uSmart will not be liable for any loss or damage suffered by any person in reliance on any representation or omission in the content of this article. The content of the article is for reference only and does not constitute any offer, solicitation, recommendation, opinion or guarantee of any securities, virtual assets, financial products or instruments. Regulatory authorities may restrict the trading of virtual asset-related ETFs to only investors who meet specified requirements. Any calculations or images in the article are for illustrative purposes only.
Investment involves risks and the value and income from securities may rise or fall. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Please carefully consider your personal risk tolerance, and consult independent professional advice if necessary.
uSMART
Wealth Growth Made Easy
Open Account