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這三隻ETF可抵禦高利率
uSMART盈立智投 02-17 20:27

2023年初,投資者們還在樂觀預期美聯儲會放緩去年激進加息的步伐,甚至預期今年年底之前將進行降息。然而,近段時間以來,超強的非農就業數據和零售銷售、製造業和房地產市場顯現出回暖跡象以及頑固的通脹等一系列勁爆數據令美聯儲的加息壓力陡增,加息預期急劇升溫。

華爾街大行高盛表示,鑑於更強勁的經濟增長和更堅挺的通脹數據,高盛將美聯儲加息預期再上調25個基點,目前其預計3月、5月和6月美聯儲將分別加息25個基點,預計終端利率將升至5.25-5.5%。此外,巴克萊和預測公司LH Meyer也預計美聯儲6月份將加息25個基點。

總的來說,美國經濟似乎在無視美聯儲放緩經濟增長以抑制通脹的努力,在強勁的就業市場推動下,商品和服務的需求持續增長,而通脹則依然遠高於美聯儲的目標,這可能導致美聯儲未來將利率提高至更高水平。這是投資者不得不考慮的情況之一。而以下這三隻交易所交易基金(ETF)則有助於在利率上升時爲投資者提供保護。

1、VanEck CLO ETF(CLOI.US)

儘管VanEck CLO ETF是去年6月推出的針對利率上升的ETF中的新產品,但對於尋求替代收益的投資者來說,它正變得越來越重要。該ETF不僅兌現了SEC 30天收益率(美國證監會一個衡量分紅ETF的標準化指標)達到6%的承諾,還將過去散戶投資者基本上無法進入的債券市場的一個角落實現了“民主化”。

對於不熟悉貸款抵押債券(CLO)的投資者來說,這種債券可以作爲銀行貸款、公司債和垃圾級債券等其他收益產品的替代品。VanEck CLO ETF不僅提供了6%的SEC 30天收益率,而且其近79%的持倉被評爲AAA或AA級,這種組合很難找到。此外,該ETF可以成爲各種投資者理想的長期固定收益投資。

VanEck產品管理總監William Sokol指出:“從長期來看,CLO相對於其他公司債類別(包括槓桿貸款、高收益債券和投資級債券)表現良好,並且顯著優於評級較低的公司債。”

2、Invesco CEF Income Composite ETF(PCEF.US)

Invesco CEF Income Composite ETF追蹤的是S-Network Composite closed end Fund指數(CEFX),該ETF的高收益使其得以抵禦利率上升。規模爲7.707億美元的PCEF已有13年曆史,持有117只封閉式基金(CEF)。PCEF的SEC 30天收益率爲8.46%,在收益方面非常出色。該ETF今年迄今爲止上漲了8.17%。

金融服務公司VettaFi的分析師Roxanna Islam表示:“CEFX提供了對某些CEF策略的敞口,這些策略受到利率上升影響的風險的可能性較小。”據悉,這些基金包括支付浮動息票的非槓桿基金或優先貸款基金。在槓桿基金中,那些盈利覆蓋率較高的基金可能有更多的緩衝來承受盈利壓力(盈利覆蓋率是指基金收益與分配的比率)。

3、Invesco S&P 500 Pure Value ETF(RPV.US)

顧名思義,Invesco S&P 500 Pure Value ETF尋求提供一種價值型股票的投資方法,比這個龐大的ETF類別中更基本的產品更加純粹。在利率上升的情況,這一特點值得考慮,因爲歷史證明,當美聯儲收緊政策時,價值型股票往往是可靠的投資。

晨星公司(Morningstar)分析師Daniel Sotiroff指出:“有一些證據表明,在利率和通脹高企時,價值型股票表現良好。在上世紀70年代,價值型股票的表現每年比成長型股票好出近10個百分點。”

當涉及到價值型和成長型股票的投資時,純粹的投資還有其他好處,包括長期表現出衆的潛力。標普道瓊斯公司指出,標普純粹風格指數在其風格受青睞的月份裏通常表現優於其標普非純粹風格指數的同行。

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