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《即日市評》恆指造淡 領展挫逾12% 新東方在線弱
市場觀望美國明晚(14日)公布1月通脹數據,恆指今日(13日)反覆偏淡。美股上周五個別發展,道指升0.5%,但納指跌0.6%,市場關注中美兩國關係發展及日本央行下任行長人選,執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率升至3.742厘,美匯指數升至103.71,道指期貨最新跌31點或0.09%,納指期貨最新跌0.03%。上證綜指收升23點或0.72%收3,284點,深證成指升1.14%,滬深兩市成交額共9,791億元人民幣。 恆指低開280點,早段曾跌390點一度低見20,799點,其後隨內地股市造好而跌幅收窄,尾市曾倒升39點見21,230點,全日跌26點或0.12%,收21,164點;國指升18點或0.26%,收7,144點;恆生科技指數升12點或0.29%,收4,374點。大市全日成交總額1,120.74億元,滬、深港通南下交易淨流入19.2億及29.88億元人民幣。科網股走個別,騰訊(00700.HK)股價升0.8%,阿里-SW(09988.HK)走低近0.1%收104元。 餐飲股造好,呷哺呷哺(00520.HK)彈升8.6%,海底撈(06862.HK)股價升4.7%。大摩發表報告指,中國重新開放及農曆新年假期帶動客流量增加,令1月份內地餐飲業表現明顯有所好轉,翻桌率回升,其中呷哺呷哺(旗下品牌呷哺呷哺及湊湊火鍋同店銷售分別按年增長36%和3%。 【餐飲股受追捧 領展挫逾一成】 領展(00823.HK)全日股價跌12.8%至54.75元。其他本地地產股受壓,新世界發展(00017.HK)股價下挫6.7%,恆地(00012.HK)及新地(00016.HK)各跌4.8%及2.6%。 領展上周五(10日)收市後公布上市以來首次供股,擬以每單位44.2元「五供一」,集資188億元。瑞銀發表報告,預期領匯股價將反應負面,假設一半集資所得將用於償還債務,且再融資成本為4%,估計供股將即時稀釋其每單位分派及資產淨值分別約15%及7%。該行對領展股份評級為「買入」,目標價71元。 瑞銀認為,大部分香港地產股自去年11月以來已上升超過30%,相信領展供股或導致行業出現短期獲利回吐。於覆蓋研究範圍內,該行對新世界持審慎態度,因其淨負債率達74%,遠高於其他槓桿型同業包括恆地(00012.HK)、希慎(00014.HK)及嘉里建設(00683.HK)的介乎約36%至41%水平。 【市寬略呈改善 新東方在線挫】 港股主板今日市寬略改善,主板股票的升跌比率為19比21(上日11為比30);恆指成份股今日36隻股份上升,下跌股份36隻,升跌比率為47比47(上日為12比84)。大市今日錄沽空195.73億元,佔可沽空股份成交額969.04億元的20.198%(上日為19.811%)。 新東方在線(01797.HK)全日股價下挫近15%收51.75元,成交額25.78億元。據聯交所資料顯示,集團執行董事兼財務總監尹強於上周五(9日),減持100萬股公司股份,涉資6,159萬元。此外,新東方在執行董事兼線行政總裁孫東旭亦於上周二(7日)及上周三(8日)場內各減持193萬股(涉1.07億港元)及193萬股(涉近1.1億元),共減持386萬股(共2.17億元)。 招商證券國際發表報告指,新東方在線將受惠於中國重新開放後的復甦,但在估值層面上,料集團上漲的空間有限,基於分部加總估值的樂觀情形,維持目標價59元及「中性」評級,看好其多元化策略帶來的增長和持續強大的品牌影響力,等待買入時機。
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