《前瞻》中免與美團成券商2023年推介「票王」 消費股獲垂青
港股受俄烏衝突、中美關係緊張、內地新冠防控、內房債務問題、環球通脹及央行急速加息等因素影響表現波動,恆指10月底曾低見14,597一度創逾十三年半新低,恆生科技指數亦曾創面世以來新低。年底前內地宣布放寬新冠防控措施,經濟重啟憧憬引發港股顯著反彈。
去年底獲最多券商推薦的京東(09618.HK)全年累跌19.4%,跑輸恆指的全年累跌15.5%。第二最多券商推介的招行(03968.HK)全年累跌27.9%。並列第三最多券商推介的騰訊(00700.HK)、龍源(00916.HK)、建行(00939.HK)及友邦(01299.HK)當中,以建行及友邦表現較佳,分別累跌9.4%及累升10.4%跑贏恆指。
【中免與美團 最獲大行垂青】
展望2023年,本網綜合12間券商列出的港股、中資股首選、推介及組合名單,熱門股主要與內需及消費相關,經營餐飲外賣、酒店及到店服務的美團(03690.HK)及從事免稅店中國中免(01880.HK)(601888.SH)均獲得7間券商看好成為「票王」。
電商平台京東-SW(09618.HK)(JD.US)獲6間券商看好,啤酒股潤啤(00291.HK)則獲5間券商看好,部分券商推介京東美股預託證券(JD.US)。通關概念股友邦(01299.HK)以及騰訊(00700.HK)則獲4間券商看好。
而本網去年年底綜合17間券商就2022年港股所作推介,扣除非香港上市股票計算,逾半跑贏恆指,以摩通(推介11股)、瑞銀(推介19股)及農銀國際(推介11股)平均回報較佳。
【瑞銀推介佳 明年薦內需】
瑞銀去年列出中港股首選名單中,包括「藍籌」升幅榜第二及第三位的金沙中國(01928.HK)及銀娛(00027.HK),友邦及新地(00016.HK)亦顯著跑贏大市,推介「藍籌」表現較為突出。該行今年除繼續推介金沙中國、新地及友邦,亦推介新秀麗(01910.HK)、潤啤、中免(601888.SH)、李寧(02331.HK)等消費復甦概念股,同時亦推介電商平台京東(JD.US)及阿里巴巴(BABA.US)。
農銀國際去年的行業首選股中,中移動(00941.HK)及中海外(00688.HK)各累升10.6%及11.6%,百勝中國(09987.HK)累升14.7%。該行今年繼續推介中移動及中海外,並推介華潤萬象生活(01209.HK)、越秀服務(06626.HK)等物管股,同時推介電商平台京東與阿里巴巴,以及涉足旅遊及到店服務的美團。
【憧美或減息 看好科技股】
凱基亞洲投資策略部主管溫傑接受本網訪問時表示,明年可循經濟復甦、監管鬆綁、能源安全及求穩四大方向作為投資主線。該行推介潤啤、中免、太古A(00019.HK)、京東、中廣核電力(01816.HK)、東方電氣(01072.HK)、中電信(00728.HK)、友邦及中銀香港(02388.HK)。他強調股份建議為整套投資組合,在經濟衰退風險下須兼具防守性。他亦認為,恆指近期已從低位升逾五千點,短線取態保守屬正常,建議待第一季出現低位時才待機補捉升浪。
元宇證券基金投資總監林嘉麒則看好飲食類板塊,尤其為餐飲啤酒股,並首選潤啤,認為較青島啤酒只聚焦高端產品更為市場受落。他亦看好科技股,指中概股審計問題解決,且明年企業業績有基數效應支持,美國明年潛在減息亦利好科技股,當中看好京東,認為股價能較快速反彈。林嘉麒又指,內房股有政策支撐,估計情況可逐步改善,但復甦的速度較慢,及小心明年首季出現大量違約。他警告汽車股進入陣痛期,不宜沾手,並指個別新能源汽車股業績差勁,如理想(02015.HK)昂貴成本蠶食毛利。
富昌證券聯席董事譚朗蔚認為,可留意經濟重啟概念,包括攜程-S(09961.HK)及百勝中國(09987.HK),但警告濠賭股升勢過急,認為通關概念的炒作已完結,最終要還看博彩數據。他亦認為利率見頂回落利好高息股及房託,可選擇中電(00002.HK)、港燈-SS(02638.HK)及領展(00823.HK),但只可作長線收息。他不建議買入汽車股,認為汽車股弱勢持續。(fc-ta/w/t)
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