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《回顧》中海油(00857.HK)膺全年藍籌升幅王 金沙銀娛列升幅三甲
受俄烏衝突、美聯儲進取加息、內房債務問題持續、新冠防疫及中美關係緊張等因素影響,港股今年持續向下,恆指10月更曾跌至金融海嘯以來逾十三年低。由於歐美通脹高企,中海油(00857.HK)在盈利改善及油價上漲下造好,全年累升45.7%,成今年「藍籌」升幅王。澳門博彩經營權續期明朗及憧憬通關帶動濠賭股,金沙中國(01928.HK)及銀娛(00027.HK)今年分別各累升42.6%及28.7%,為第二及第三大升幅藍籌。 手機部件股舜宇(02382.HK)、內房股碧桂園(02007.HK)及物管股碧服(06098.HK)全年各累跌62.3%、61.4%及58.4%,為跌幅最大藍籌股三甲。國指成分股方面,除中海油同時成為國指升幅王外,海底撈(06862.HK)及京東健康(06618.HK)各累升27.3%及16.1%,同為國指升幅最大三隻股份。 利率敏感科技股受壓,騰訊(00700.HK)、美團(03690.HK)及京東(09618.HK)等均跑輸恆指,全年各累跌26.9%、22.5%及19.4%。 【中海油起舞 金沙銀娛彈】 中海油今年股價累積大升45.7%。俄羅斯與烏克蘭戰事於2月下旬爆發,歐美國家相繼對俄羅斯實施制裁措施,石油及天然氣價格急升。紐約期油及布蘭特期油至3月初曾升穿每桶130美元創14年新高。中海油其後受盈利超預期及4月下旬完成A股上市帶動,股價在6月升至11.64元高位,公司8月公布今年上半年中期純利按年大升1.2倍,中期息亦按年增1.3倍。公司10月下旬公布第三季淨利潤亦按年升89%,實現總淨產量1.57億桶油當量,按年升8.8%。公司9月亦開始回購H股,令股東收益率提升。 濠賭股金沙中國為升幅第二大藍籌,全年累升42.6%。澳門特區年初公布修訂博彩法,將原本在今年6月26日到期的「三正、三副」六張賭牌,以公開方式重新競投,訂明新賭牌數量最多六個,期限由20年縮短至10年。澳門政府於7月29日至9月14日進行新一輪博彩經營批給的公開競投程序。新一輪澳門博彩經營批給公開競投投標於9月中截止,除原有六間博企繼續投標外,二十年前失落賭牌的馬來西亞雲頂集團捲土重來,以「黑馬」姿態挑戰六大博企,出乎外界意料共有七間公司遞交標書。 金沙10月底股價跌至12.5元低位,至11月下旬澳門政府公布在澳門經營賭場的六間博彩企業獲全數續牌,加上內地放寬新冠防疫措施引發市場的憧憬,金沙中國股價12月顯著回升至27.2元高位。同業銀娛為升幅第三大藍籌,全年累升28.7%。該股10月底曾下滑至33.55元,其後在內地放寬新冠防疫憧憬下隨大市回升,12月股價曾升至54.35元高位。 【手機市場弱 舜宇沽壓重】 國指成分股方面,除「藍籌」升幅王中海油為升幅最大國指股份外,京東健康為升幅三甲之一,全年升16.1%。該股年初隨大市下跌,3月跌至31.4元上市新低,隨著內地9月公布規範藥品網絡銷售規定,京東健康股價反覆造好並曾重上90元。京東健康11月公布今年第三季收入按年升42%,經營溢利亦由負轉正,非國際財務報告準經營溢利則按年升87%。 舜宇、碧桂園及碧服為全年跌幅三大藍籌。受手機需求下跌及毛利率下降影響,舜宇中期少賺近50%。公司11月手機鏡頭出貨量按年跌26%,並發通告指起訴瑞聲光學子公司侵權。受內地樓市下滑拖累,碧桂園中期少賺96%。公司在11月及12月兩度配股集資共逾86億元。 大型枓技股方面,騰訊、美團及京東各累跌26.9%、22.5%及19.4%。市場關注內地新冠封控影響美團旅遊及到店業務、騰訊廣告收入及京東的零售增長。投資者認為內地互聯網業不確定性仍高,能見度較低,會觀望中央經濟工作會議及人大政協會議。(ta-fc/w/t) ~
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