You are browsing the Hong Kong website, Regulated by Hong Kong SFC (CE number: BJA907). Investment is risky and you must be cautious when entering the market.
“末日博士”魯比尼:美國經濟將陷入衰退,標普500明年或跌25%
uSMART盈立智投 12-20 16:27

著名經濟學家努裏爾·魯比尼警告稱,由於通貨膨脹、氣候變化和地區衝突的風險威脅,世界經濟正面臨着嚴重的衰退風險,市場應“保持高度警惕”。本月早些時候,鑑於美國經濟衰退的可能性,魯比尼對潛在的股市下行敲響了警鐘。他預測,如果明年美國經濟收縮,標普500指數可能在未來下調25%。魯比尼抨擊美聯儲在通脹方面沒有達到目標,並預測將出現“深度和持久”的經濟衰退。

因其經常性悲觀預測而被稱爲“末日博士”的魯比尼表示,新舊問題的交匯給世界經濟帶來了風險,其描繪了一幅2023年全球經濟前景黯淡的圖景。他指出:“宏觀經濟環境新增了一些以前不存在的重大新威脅,而且威脅正不斷增加,但我們對此卻無能爲力。”

他警告稱,“通貨膨脹、人工智能、氣候變化和地區局勢動盪的風險都將對全球經濟走勢產生巨大影響,市場必須保持高度警惕。”並補充稱“全球需要合作以實現幾乎前所未有的經濟增長,世界各國才能在即將到來的衰退中取得積極成果。”

魯比尼擴大了他對明年經濟衰退的悲觀預測,猛烈抨擊美聯儲政策失誤並沒有達到通脹目標。並指出,由於美聯儲的激進加息,明年經濟將陷入衰退。

就在上週,美聯儲將利率提高了50個基點,致力於將通脹率從近40年的高位降至2%的目標。自3月以來,美聯儲已將借貸成本提高了400多個基點,導致金融市場中各資產類別大幅下跌。

魯比尼表示,即將到來的經濟衰退將十分嚴重。“這將是一場深刻而持久的經濟衰退。”由於美國通貨膨脹率爲7.1%,失業率爲3.7%,這個世界上最大的經濟體幾乎肯定會面臨經濟硬着陸。

Follow us
Find us on Facebook, Twitter , Instagram, and YouTube or frequent updates on all things investing.Have a financial topic you would like to discuss? Head over to the uSMART Community to share your thoughts and insights about the market! Click the picture below to download and explore uSMART app!
Disclaimers
uSmart Securities Limited (“uSmart”) is based on its internal research and public third party information in preparation of this article. Although uSmart uses its best endeavours to ensure the content of this article is accurate, uSmart does not guarantee the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the information of this article and is not responsible for any views/opinions/comments in this article. Opinions, forecasts and estimations reflect uSmart’s assessment as of the date of this article and are subject to change. uSmart has no obligation to notify you or anyone of any such changes. You must make independent analysis and judgment on any matters involved in this article. uSmart and any directors, officers, employees or agents of uSmart will not be liable for any loss or damage suffered by any person in reliance on any representation or omission in the content of this article. The content of the article is for reference only and does not constitute any offer, solicitation, recommendation, opinion or guarantee of any securities, virtual assets, financial products or instruments. Regulatory authorities may restrict the trading of virtual asset-related ETFs to only investors who meet specified requirements. Any calculations or images in the article are for illustrative purposes only.
Investment involves risks and the value and income from securities may rise or fall. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Please carefully consider your personal risk tolerance, and consult independent professional advice if necessary.
uSMART
Wealth Growth Made Easy
Open Account