富國銀行:各大央行將在2023年底前採取行動支持經濟增長
富國銀行表示,預計各大央行將在2023年底前採取行動支持經濟增長,以避免深度或長期衰退。該行表示,加息可能持續到2023年初,但緊縮週期應該會隨着通脹減弱而結束,儘管核心通脹可能仍處於高位。富國銀行預計某些G10央行將在2023年底前放鬆貨幣政策,一些新興經濟體央行則更早開始。
富國銀行表示,美聯儲和歐洲央行的進一步加息將加劇金融市場的波動,這應該會提振美元,使其成爲具有吸引力的避險資產。該行表示,它仍然相信美元將在2023年初“重新走強”。
富國銀行預計明年全球GDP增長僅爲1.7%,爲1980年代初以來的最低增速。
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