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《大行報告》高盛:美聯儲加息半厘及料至明年底利率預期中值5.125厘符預期
阿思達克 12-15 14:35
高盛發表研究報告指,聯儲局一如預期加息0.5厘,聯邦基金利率升至介乎4.25厘至4.50厘,到2023年底的利率中值為5.125%,與預測一致。 該行提到,在經濟預測摘要(SEP)的預測中值中,失業率將從目前的3.7%上升到2023年預測的4.6%,2024則為4.6%,2025年則為4.5%(原預期4.4%、4.4%及4.3%)。SEP上調美國今年GDP增長預測,但下調了2023年和2024年的增長,並將2025年的增長預測保持在增加1.8%。對2022年、23年和24年的核心通脹預測中值錄得明顯上調,但2025年保持不變,仍為1.8%。
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