10天翻倍，博彩股終於撥雲見日，防控再優化，小摩稱仍有100%潛在上升空間
11月以來港股飆入牛市，反彈急先鋒除了地產股還有誰？博彩股！從11月1日到12月7日，永利澳門漲了近1.5倍，其中近10個交易日就連漲翻倍，美高梅中國翻了1.4倍，行業整體漲幅在80%左右。
地產股爆發是因爲市場悲觀到了極點的時候出現了政策曙光，而博彩股是防疫政策優化帶來的業績提升預期。看一下澳門歷年的博彩收入就能更好的理解了。
疫情這三年，澳門的博彩收入可以說是腳踝斬，從2019年的近3000億澳門元驟降到700億左右，根據最新的統計數據，今年前11個月幸運博彩毛收入387億澳門元，相較去年腰斬。
不過隨着“二十條”、“新十條”落地，旅遊出行開始復甦，博彩業也迎來曙光。
12月6日，澳門優化了由內地入境澳門人士的防疫措施，來自內地低風險區和常態化疫情防控區的不需要集中隔離，但加強了核酸檢測和抗原檢測的要求。
下一步更值得期待的是澳門放寬入境限制，尤其是港澳通關。
對於未來澳門博彩業的發展，摩根大通仍然明確地看好，因爲賭牌風險清除，行業有一個更清晰的前景、需求增長，加上與過去兩年相比，目前市場環境更加寬鬆，流動性問題改善。基本和牛市情境預測顯示博彩股分別平均有30%和100%的潛在上升空間，認爲目前加倉未算太遲。
天風證券此前也表示，隨着擾動趨於緩和，疊加放開電子籤申請雙重利好，澳門入境旅客數量有望繼續攀升，從而推動博彩企業中場業務及酒店、餐飲、娛樂城等非博彩業務增長。疫情防控措施調整是澳門博彩行業短期內的主要催化因素，在出入境管制趨於放寬的預期下，澳門博彩行業有望迎來業績持續修復。
投資標的涉及澳門博彩股的ETF是VanEck Gaming ETF（代碼BJK），成立於2008年，投資組合包括在線遊戲、賭場、賭場度假村和相關業務。截至12月7日，資產規模8100萬美元，銀河娛樂、美高梅、金沙中國爲第6-8大重倉股，權重分別爲6%、4.8%、4.3%，前十大持倉股總權重爲58.3%。
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