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各大投行前瞻美國11月非農數據
uSMART盈立智投 12-02 20:55

1. 花旗集團:預計就業人數新增22.5萬人,就業增長速度放緩但仍穩定,平均時薪環比增長0.3%,失業率降至3.6%。

2. 荷蘭國際:預計就業人數新增20萬人,科技行業裁員人數和初請人數增加表明,未來幾個月就業增長趨於趨軟。

3. 道明證券:預計就業人數新增24萬人,失業率維持在3.7%不變,勞動參與率將有所回升,薪資增長或放緩至0.3%。

4. 富國銀行:預計就業人數將在11月及隨後幾個月進一步放緩,裁員人數仍然很低,對增聘員工的需求似乎在下滑。

5. 德商銀行:預計就業人數新增20萬,即使放緩至該水平,勞動力市場仍強勁,美聯儲仍可能再累計加息100個基點。

6. 野村證券:預計就業人數新增18萬人,有越來越多的證據表明,日益增加的不確定性正在影響招聘活動。

7. 法興銀行:預計就業人數新增27萬人,就業數據仍然強勁,失業率將從10月的3.7%下降至3.6%。

8. 加拿大皇家銀行:預計就業人數新增15萬人,失業率將升至3.8%,職位空缺數量仍然很高,但一直在小幅下降。

9. 加拿大帝國商業銀行:預計就業人數新增18萬人,儘管消費強勁和供應鏈問題緩解本都可以促進就業人數增長。

10. 加拿大國家銀行財富管理:預計就業人數新增15萬人,招聘活動可能已經放緩,裁員人數可能保持在較低水平。

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