美銀料聯儲局明年12月減息 十年期美債孳息率將回落
美銀(BAC.US)預計,隨著聯儲局放慢加息步伐並最終減息以刺激經濟,十年期美債孳息率明年將下降。
美銀估計,美國經濟將在明年中進入衰退,促使聯儲局在明年底減息並導致孳息率曲線下降,預計聯儲局會再加息3次,直到明年3月達到5.25厘的高位,然後可能會在明年12月開始減息,而十年期美債孳息率將從明年首季的4厘下降至年底的3.25厘。
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