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《即日市評》恆指急彈逾5% 科網及內房股起舞
恆指今日(29日)期指結算日受金融及科網股帶動回升,並重上萬八關。市場關注中國新冠防控,美股道指及納指隔晚(28日)各跌1.5%及1.6%,執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率升至3.652厘,美匯指數升至106.21,道指期貨最新升95點或0.28%,納指期貨最新升0.66%。摩通亞洲區貨幣指數升0.6%報98.66。國家衛健委指精準判定風險區域,封控管理要「快封快解、應解盡解」,加快推進長者新冠疫苗接種,人民幣即期收升336點報7.1663兌一美元,上證綜指全日升71點或2.31%,收3,149點,深證成指升2.4%,滬深兩市成交額9,681億人民幣。 恆指高開260點後升幅擴大,並以全日高位18,204點收市,升906點或5.2%。國指升364點或6.2%,收6,236點;恆生科技指數升262點或7.7%,收3,695點。大市全日成交總額按日增41%至近1,667.6億元,滬、深港通南下交易淨流入29.64億及淨流出10.63億元人民幣。中國平安(02318.HK)全日股價彈高12.9%收47.25元,招行(03968.HK)股價揚9.4%。消費股揚,海底撈(06862.HK)漲12%、九毛九(09922.HK)走高14.1% 【恆指上萬八 科網股搶高】 中資科網股向上,美團-W(03690.HK)全日股價揚近11.5%收155.4元,騰訊(00700.HK)及阿里-SW(09988.HK)股價分別走高5.9%及9.1%,而京東-SW(09618.HK)股價走高10.9%。大和發表報告指出,由於內地疫情防控措施優化,加上重新開放的預期,以及監管放寬遊戲許可審批,市場投資情緒改善,令中資互聯網股股價於11月有所反彈。然而,如政府於12月對重新開放態度搖擺不定,估計近期市場對消費相關股票的情緒將維持疲弱。 該行認為,遊戲公司第三季在中國的主要遊戲流水呈弱,可能將拖累明年上半年的整體遊戲收入。該行重申對中資互聯網板塊的正面看法,本月行業喜好依次為騰訊、其次是美團、阿里(BABA.US)、拼多多(PDD.US)和攜程(TCOM.US)。 【升股千三隻 內房股受捧】 港股今日市寬改善,主板股票的升跌比率為31比10(上日為12比28),上升股份1,328隻(升幅4.6%);恆指成份股今日72隻股份上升,下跌股份1隻,升跌比率為99比1(上日為25比75);大市今日錄沽空317.73億元,佔可沽空股份成交額1,472.15億元的21.583%(上日為20.877%)。 內房股急升,富力(02777.HK)、龍湖(00960.HK)、萬科(02202.HK)及遠洋(03377.HK)各升10%至13.6%,物管股碧服(06098.HK)股價揚13.7% 中證監決定在股權融資方面調整優化五項措施支持內房行業,包括恢復涉房上市公司併購重組及配套融資,恢復上市房企和涉房上市公司再融資等。摩根大通發表報告,認為措施反映出政府在支持經濟方面變得更加認真,有可能將一些未陷財困的私人開發商從流動性壓力中拯救出來。然而,該行指拓寬資金來源的形式較似風險管理,相信最終目的是確保樓宇完成,而非刺激需求。 摩通認為,內房股股價在短期內會有正面反應,但要實現可持續的反彈,仍需要銷售的穩固改善,而這一點目前仍未出現。
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