伯克希爾三季度持倉變動!抄底台積電,繼續買入能源股西方石油、雪佛龍
隨着財報季進入收尾階段,各大機構陸續公佈了第三季度的持倉情況。昨日,巴菲特旗下公司伯克希爾哈撒韋公佈三季度最新持倉。
三季度,伯克希爾建倉台積電,並增持繼續加倉石油股,買入西方石油和雪佛龍。
前十大重倉股:蘋果仍佔41%
在前十大重倉股中,蘋果、美股銀行倉位不變,佔比仍位居一、二位。蘋果持倉約8.95億股,持倉市值約1237億美元,佔投資組合比例為41.76%;美國銀行持倉約10.1億股,持倉市值約305億美元,佔投資組合比例為10.30%。
三季度,伯克希爾加倉雪佛龍約392萬股、西方石油約358萬股、建倉台積電買入6006萬股;減倉動視暴雪825萬股。
倉位不變的股票還包括可口可樂,持倉約4億股,持倉市值約224億美元,佔投資組合比例為7.59%;美國運通持倉約1.52億股,持倉市值約205億美元,佔投資組合比例為6.93%;卡夫亨氏持倉約3.26億股,持倉市值約109億美元,佔投資組合比例為3.68%;穆迪公司持倉約0.25億股,持倉市值約60億美元,佔投資組合比例為2.03%;

全部持倉變動上,除建倉台積電外,伯克希爾還建倉了美國建材商路易斯安那太平洋和金融公司傑富瑞,分別買入579萬股、43.4萬股;增持派拉蒙環球1279萬股、化工公司塞拉尼斯55萬股、高級家居公司Restoration Hardware19萬股;減持紐約梅隆銀行1014萬股、通用汽車288萬股、零售企業克羅格217萬股、美國合眾銀行2474萬股。
此外,伯克希爾三季度還清倉地產投資信託STORE Capital。

抄底台積電
最引人矚目的是,伯克希爾三季度抄底台積電,買入6006萬股,一舉將其加到了第十大重倉股的位置,持倉市值約41.18億美元,佔投資組合比例為1.39%。

今年以來,受半導體行業週期下行影響,台積電股價自1月到達高點142.9美元/股後,就一路下跌,目前已較當時的高點已經跌去44%,逼近腰斬位置。

伯克希爾三季度報吿發布後,台積電美股盤後一度大漲8%,現漲5%。
儘管行業處於下行階段,但台積電的表現卻十分亮眼。據台積電聲明,公司10月的營收達到2103億新台幣(66億美元),同比增長56%,去年同期為1345億新台幣。
而且,台積電還在逆週期加大投資。除了在美國亞利桑那州已開工建設的價值120億美元的芯片廠外,台積電還準備在該州建造另一座工廠。
除了巴菲特,中信證券也看好美股半導體公司。中信證券認為,全球半導體行業當前正處於週期下行通道,行業庫存水平大概率已在三季度見頂,並開始回落,股價亦有望跟隨庫存水平觸底回升。
不過,中信證券也指出,考慮到本次下行週期同時伴隨供給過剩和需求萎縮,雖然堅信美股半導體板塊股價觸底回升的判斷,但板塊業績預期短期仍可能面臨需求端的持續擾動,股價回升斜率亦大概率弱於2018/19年等歷史可比周期。遵從“先進先出”週期法則,並結合個股業績確定性、估值合理性。
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