“四根稻草”壓垮了美股的樂觀情緒
美聯儲11月加息之後，美股短暫的緩過一口氣，但是隔夜樂觀情緒再次崩潰。在Academy Securities 的Peter Tchir 看來，有四大事件摧毀了美股的做多情緒。
Peter Tchir 表示，近期發生或即將發生、並對市場情緒造成重大影響的事件分別是：預期中的中期選舉情形並沒有出現；幣圈地震；科技圈持續性裁員，以及市場擔心本週四公佈的通脹數據會超預期。
中期選舉
市場傾向於兩黨各掌一院的情形，這樣市場就不用面對過多的不確定性。截至今天上午，衆議院和參議院都沒有出現市場預期的結果。不過，衆議院的選票走向給了投資者一些信心，這應該會給市場帶來足夠的「僵局」，在一定程度上緩和了市場的失望情緒。
幣圈地震
各種虛擬幣在年初至今暴跌，每次大跌都在一定程度上影響了市場情緒。好消息是，兩者之間的聯繫正在減弱。
Peter Tchir 認爲，虛擬貨幣的薪資，在一定程度上是爲了規避法律而存在的。而一個沒有監管、資本充足和資本流動透明但資本主體匿名的情況，這樣的市場註定會亂象叢生。FTT從週一的22美元降至現在的4.6美元，比特幣價格接近6月18日的收盤低點17785美元。破紀錄的低點，促使更多的止損賣出。隱藏的問題將是，公司和投資者有多少債務與加密貨幣有關？
虛擬資產的崩潰，已經造成連鎖反應：虛擬資產投放的廣告減少，依靠廣告營收的谷歌、Facebook等收入不及預期。同時，芯片、顯卡等需求量也急劇下降，相關行業同樣遭遇營收銳減。好消息是，「挖礦」等活動減少，降低了一部分能源消耗。
科技公司裁員規模不斷擴大
Meta宣佈裁員11000人，該股在盤前交易時間段大漲。不惜一切代價的投資風格，似乎已經轉向了更「傳統」的投資方式，這可能是一件好事。但不可否認的是，硅谷的裁員從小公司蔓延到曾經的萬億市值巨頭，但美聯儲還絲毫沒有減緩加息的跡象，這對市場來說並不是好消息。
CPI 數據很重要
上個月，通脹數據是最重要的變量，當時市場最關心的是核心CPI數據。本月，會有更多人深入研究CPI的分解項，如果租金是主要驅動因素，那麼市場將再次在很大程度上忽視核心CPI的這一方面。
如果通貨膨脹率很高，而且是由房租以外的其他領域推動的，那麼市場將陷入困境，但Peter Tchir 不認爲情況會如此。
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