《即日市評》內地PPI近兩年來首跌 港股向下 內房股逆市彈
市場關注美國中期選舉結果及內地10月PPI按年跌1.3%(為2020年12月以來首次下跌),港股今日持續向下。美股道指及納指隔夜各升1%及0.5%,執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率跌至4.136厘,美匯指數跌至109.5,道指期貨最新升16點或0.05%,納指期貨最新升0.37%,摩通亞洲區貨幣指數升0.24%報97.29。內地10月CPI按年升2.1%(低於市場原預期的2.4%)、10月PPI按年跌1.3%,野村指內地10月通縮壓力仍大;人民幣即期收升240點報7.23280兌一美元,上證綜指全日跌16點或0.53%收3,048點,深證成指跌0.79%,滬深兩市成交額7,787億人民幣。
港股今日下跌。恆指低開4點,早段曾升172點一度高見16,730點後輾轉回落,其後曾跌344點低見16,213點,全日跌198點或1.2%,收16,358點,連跌兩日(累跌237點或1.4%);國指全日跌67點或1.21%,收5,534點;恆生科技指數跌63點或1.89%,收3,280點。大市全日成交總額1,112.97億元,滬、深港通南下交易淨流入1.32億及10.57億元人民幣。領展(00823.HK)中午公布中期可分派總額跌1.8%,領展全日跌4%報49.8元。
【領展績後跌 內房逆市揚】
內房股逆市彈高,旭輝(00884.HK)今早股價曾抽升近52%,全日收市抽高28.6%,碧桂園(02007.HK)、合景泰富(01813.HK)及富力(02777.HK)各升11.3%至13.9%,雅居樂(03383.HK)及金茂(00817.HK)各升5.7%及5%,
由人民銀行主管的中國銀行間市場交易商協會公布,繼續推進並擴大民營企業債券融資支持工具,支持包括房地產企業在內的民營企業發債融資,預計可支持約2,500億元人民幣民營企業債券融資,後續可視情況進一步擴容。美銀證券中國房地產行業發表報告表示,對人行今次推出新支持措施感到驚喜,目前尚不清楚有多少配額是給予內地房地產開發商的,但如果分配的全部金額用於房地產企業,2,500億人民幣額度就相當於具前景開發商候選企業的短期債務總額。
該行認為,近期內地房地產行業的反彈,包括一些陷入困境的股票,可能部分反映了這種政策舉措,但人行將直接為債券購買提供資金超出了該行的預期。美銀證券估計,潛在受惠上述消息的內房開發商包括雅居樂、美的置業(03990.HK)、龍湖、碧桂園、新城發展(01030.HK)、旭輝(00884.HK)、金地(600383.SH)、卓越、新希望(000876.SZ)、德信地產、大華集團、仁恆置地。
【沽空率下降 汽車股受壓】
港股今日市寬續弱,主板股票的升跌比率為16比23(上日為15比24);恆指成份股今日17隻股份上升,下跌股份52隻,升跌比率為23比71(上日為51比47);大市今日錄沽空181.15億元,佔可沽空股份成交額955.41億元的18.961%(上日為19.734%)。
中資汽車股受壓,吉利(00175.HK)及小鵬(09868.HK)各跌6%及6.9%,蔚來(09866.HK)及比亞迪(01211.HK)各跌4.9%及4.6%。花旗發表報告指,根據行業最新數據,10月31日至11月6日期間整體乘用車每日平均零售額都低於市場預期,按周下跌14%,其中純內燃機(ICE)及新能源(NEV)車型分別按周跌15%及11%。
按品牌劃分,中國本土品牌按周跌13%,大眾定位的外國品牌跌16%,外國豪車品牌則跌10%。該行估計,經調整後11月首周的日均銷售計,純電動車(BEV)及插電式混合動力車(PHEV)期內零售銷售分別按月增長3%及5%;當中特斯拉(TSLA.US)、蔚來(09866.HK)(NIO.US)、理想(02015.HK)(LI.US)、埃安、極氪及比亞迪(01211.HK)等都錄得介乎8%至74%的按月增長,而小鵬(09868.HK)(XPEV.US)與零跑(09863.HK)則預期按月跌18%及6%。
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