大行相繼降本港今年GDP預測 高盛估收縮3.2% 花旗料倒退2.6%
港府昨天(10月31日)公布本港第三季GDP按年收縮4.5%,遠遜預期。多家大行紛紛下調對本港經濟預測。高盛昨晚表示,由於第三季經濟低迷程度超出預期,下調本港全年GDP預測,由原先收縮1.4%降至收縮3.2%。
花旗周二(11月1日)也以經濟形勢惡化為由,將本港全年GDP預測由原先微升0.3%,下調至萎縮2.6%。花旗稱,由於本地的復甦仍「遙不可及」、資本外流、樓價加速下跌、以及對內地經濟成長和通關前景的悲觀情緒,即使本港未來進一步放寬防疫限制,未來幾個季度前景或仍艱難。高盛和花旗亦下調對本港2023年預測,估計的反彈幅度小於先前預期。
此外,大華銀行亦將本港今年全年GDP預測,由原先收縮0.7%下調至收縮3%,形容香港缺乏更強勁復甦的催化劑。大和則指本港第三季GDP遜預期,將全年GDP預測由收縮1.7%下調至收縮3.7%。
Follow us
Find us on
Facebook,
Twitter ,
Instagram, and
YouTube or frequent updates on all things investing.Have a financial topic you would like to discuss? Head over to the
uSMART Community to share your thoughts and insights about the market! Click the picture below to download and explore uSMART app!

Disclaimers
uSmart Securities Limited (“uSmart”) is based on its internal research and public third party information in preparation of this article. Although uSmart uses its best endeavours to ensure the content of this article is accurate, uSmart does not guarantee the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the information of this article and is not responsible for any views/opinions/comments in this article. Opinions, forecasts and estimations reflect uSmart’s assessment as of the date of this article and are subject to change. uSmart has no obligation to notify you or anyone of any such changes. You must make independent analysis and judgment on any matters involved in this article. uSmart and any directors, officers, employees or agents of uSmart will not be liable for any loss or damage suffered by any person in reliance on any representation or omission in the content of this article. The content of the article is for reference only and does not constitute any offer, solicitation, recommendation, opinion or guarantee of any securities, virtual assets, financial products or instruments. Regulatory authorities may restrict the trading of virtual asset-related ETFs to only investors who meet specified requirements. Any calculations or images in the article are for illustrative purposes only.
Investment involves risks and the value and income from securities may rise or fall. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Please carefully consider your personal risk tolerance, and consult independent professional advice if necessary.