《即日市評》恆指重上萬五 科網股起舞 騰訊及美團揚一成
市場憧憬美聯儲局未來或放慢加息步伐,科網股帶動港股今日節節上升。美股道指隔晚各跌0.4%及1%,執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率跌至4厘以下水平報3.988厘,美匯指數升至110.85,道指期貨最新升210點或0.64%,納指期貨最新升1%,摩通亞洲區貨幣指數升0.4%報96.14。中國10月財新製造業PMI回升至49.2(市場預期48.5),人民幣即期收跌266點報7.2719兌一美元,上證綜指全日升75點或2.6%收2,969點,深證成指升3.24%,內地創業板指數升3.2%,滬深兩市成交額9,775億人民幣。
恆指今早高開172點後升幅擴大,曾升945點一度高見15,632點,全日升768點或5.23%,收15,455點;國指升271點或5.49%,收5,209點;恆生科技指數升222點或7.8%,收3,075點。大市全日成交總額1,538.12億元,滬、深港通南下交易淨流入37.6億及53.07億元人民幣。港交所(00388.HK)升8.3%。而天文台表示三號強風信號明早6時前維持,考慮明日日間發八號烈風或暴風信號。
【科網股起舞 騰訊揚一成】
科技股上揚,騰訊(00700.HK)全日股價升10.6%報227.4元,阿里巴巴(09988.HK)升7.6%報66.1元,小米(01810.HK)升5%,美團(03690.HK)升11.9%報139.6元,京東(09618.HK)升8.4%報157.3元。市傳中信牽頭的財團正與Naspers洽購其持有的騰訊所有股權,惟騰訊主要股東Naspers及其旗下的Prosus齊發聲明指出,有關消息屬推測及失實。Naspers繼續實施今年6月宣布的開放式股份回購計劃,而該計劃的資金來源是定期及有序出售集團持有的少量騰訊股份。
花旗發表中國互聯網行業報告表示,中資科網股近期股價明顯調整,市場關注宏觀不確定性持續上升,包括通脹擔憂和人民幣貶值,以及美國大型互聯網下修了第三季及第四指引。該行的經濟學家早前概述了全球經濟和市場的三種情景假設,而該行並從中國宏觀到微觀的三種不同的情景假設亦進行分析,以幫助投資者評估收益和估值的下行風險。
該行指,「基本情景」假設為預測中國2023年GDP增長5.6%、「熊市一」情景假設為預測中國2023年GDP增長3.55%、「熊市二」情景假設為預測中國2023年GDP僅增長1.5%。若在硬著陸的「熊市二」情景假設下,該行料中資科網股2023年盈利預測將較該行及市場同業預期下修各40%及39%。若在軟著陸的情景假設下,該行料中資科網股2023年盈利預測將潛在上修各19%及21%。
【升股千三隻 友邦績後漲】
港股今日市寬改善,主板股票的升跌比率為31比10(上日為13比28),上升股份1,323隻(升幅4.4%);恆指成份股今日71隻股份上升,下跌股份1隻,升跌比率為97比1(上日為23比75);大市今日錄沽空254.55億元,佔可沽空股份成交額1.388.87億元的18.328%(上日為21.394%)。
友邦(01299.HK)第三季新業務價值按固定匯率計升7%,全日股價升6.6%報63.4元。瑞銀發表報告指出,友邦第三季新業務價值以固定匯率基準計按年升7%,按實質匯率計升1%,略勝預期,顯示公司第三季強勁勢頭,新業務價值在所有主要細分市場(內地、香港及大部分東盟市場)及分銷渠道都有增長。當中,儘管受疫情影響,友邦中國新業務價值仍按年增長6%,顯著優於內地同行。至於澳門對香港業務增長帶來有力支持。
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