A股收評:11月開門紅!滬指漲2.62%,消費股全線爆發,茅台大漲逾8%
11月第一天,A股迎開門紅。截止收盤,滬指漲2.6%報2969點,深成指、創業板指漲超3%,上證50漲4.4%。市場風險偏好明顯回升,賺錢效應極好,兩市4448股上漲,489股下跌,成交額9770億,北上資金淨買入61.5億。

盤面上,兩市高開高走,短線資金偏好權重,茅台大漲超8%,所在的釀酒板塊指數大漲逾7%,酒鬼酒漲停,五糧液漲6.7%,旅遊、醫藥、食品飲料、汽車等消費股全面爆發,中國中免漲停,智飛生物漲10%,海天味業漲7%,藥明康德、比亞迪漲6%;金融股全線上漲,中國人壽漲5%,中信證券漲約4%;新能源賽道股表現強勁,光伏、儲能、鋰電池等概念大漲靠前,國電南瑞、隆基漲6%,寧德時代漲3.6%;豬肉、稀土、預製菜等概念活躍,北方稀土漲停。
具體來看:
消費股全線爆發。旅遊及景區概念午後大漲,眾信旅遊、峨眉山A漲停,宋城演藝漲超11%,嶺南控股、麗江股份漲超9%。消息面上,文化和旅遊部發布關於《文化和旅遊部關於推動在線旅遊市場高質量發展的意見(徵求意見稿)》公開徵求意見的公吿。其中提出,加強遊客“行蹤軌跡”等個人敏感信息保護,防止超出合理經營需要收集遊客個人信息,採取切實措施避免大數據殺熟、虛假宣傳、虛假預定等侵害遊客權益行為。

白酒概念股大爆發,順鑫農業、酒鬼酒漲停,捨得酒業漲超9%,貴州茅台、瀘州老窖、水井坊、陝西汾酒等漲超8%。消息面上,昨日,中國酒業協會聯合貴州茅台、五糧液、洋河股份、瀘州老窖、山西汾酒、古井貢酒等6大白酒龍頭髮表《中國白酒產業是充分市場化的長週期產業》。文章指出,白酒產業屬於充分市場化的產業,白酒企業之間的競爭更加市場化、專業化以及細分化,品牌集中度進一步提升,名優白酒企業強者恆強的明顯態勢,市場呈現出向名優酒、名優品牌和核心產品集中化的趨勢。

航空機場概念漲幅居前,春秋航空漲停,白雲機場漲超9%,吉祥航空、上海機場、華夏航空、中國國航等跟漲。

鹽湖提鋰概念大漲,西藏礦業漲停,久吾高科漲超10%,贛鋒鋰業大漲超8%,西藏城投、比亞迪、鹽湖股份等跟漲。銀河證券指出,澳鋰礦商PLS第十次(年內第七次)鋰精礦拍賣最終成交價為離岸價7100美元/噸。考慮到這批鋰精礦生產鋰鹽的成本價已等同於目前國內電池級碳酸鋰的銷售價格,這意味着在供需緊張鋰鹽生產商仍將獲取一定利潤的情況下,鋰鹽價格至明年一季度仍將有極強的上漲動力。

養殖概念走強,正邦科技漲停,神農集團漲超8%,聖農發展、湘佳股份等跟漲。東吳證券指出,本週板塊大幅調整後基本回到年初市值水平,從各家企業頭均市值角度來看,均處於歷史底部位置,板塊估值極具吸引力。近期整體市場環境不確定性較高,生豬養殖板塊作為高景氣高確定性低估值板塊仍然值得重點關注。

航空裝備跌幅居前,派克新材、航宇科技、中航深飛跌超5%,航發控制、中航重機、西部超導等跟跌。

今日,北上資金淨流入76.81億元,其中滬股通淨流入41.72億元,深股通淨流入35.09億元。

展望後市,民生證券表示,考慮到當前A股的風險補償水平,投資者應該可以樂觀一點:在相同的點位之下,當前全部A股的CAPE估值水平處於較低位,低於歷史均值;而以10年期國債計算的全A風險溢價仍處於歷史+1倍標準差以上。在全球緊縮下,以10年期美國國債計算的全A風險溢價只是到了歷史均值,這從一定程度可以部分解釋以北上配置盤為代表的資金在近期仍持續賣出金融和消費行業的行為。
目前市場處在以兩融為代表的交易資金活躍度回補中,結構本身存在不確定性。全市場投資者都在混沌中等待下一場景的出現,修正本已混亂的預期。市場的機遇大於風險:即便市場可能有“破”的風險,但是大部分的“破”又會帶來“立”的機遇。
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