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《即日市評》恆指升千點返萬八關 科指漲逾7% 比亞迪強勢
市場憧憬美聯儲放慢加息步伐,道指於周一及周二累漲近1,600點,港股今日於重陽節假期後復市彈高。據美國勞工部數字,8月職位空缺數量減少大約112萬個,錄得逾兩年來最大減幅,令投資者關注聯儲局或會放慢加息步伐;瑞信隔晚股價急彈近9%,有報道指澳洲記者已刪除「有大行將爆煲」帖文。執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率跌至3.705厘,美匯指數最新跌至110.68,道指期貨最新跌248點或0.82%,納指期貨最新跌0.85%。摩通亞洲區貨幣指數升0.03%報97.48。內地A股國慶假期休市,直至下周一(10日)才照常開市。 恆指今早高開732點後升幅擴大,午後曾升1,084點一度高見18,164點,全日升1,008點或5.91%,收18,087點;國指升367點或6.28%,收6,224點;恆生科技指數升258點或7.54%,收3,685點。大市全日成交總額1,054.68億元(較上交易日升近67%),滬、深港通南下交易暫停,下周一(10日)恢復。港交所(00388.HK)股價走高6.8%。 【成交達千億 科網股彈高】 科網股起舞,阿里巴巴(09988.HK)股價搶升8.4%收84.2元,美團(03690.HK)及騰訊(00700.HK)股價各揚8.2%及5.8%;金融股亦搶高,友邦(01299.HK)、中國平安(02318.HK)及匯控(00005.HK)股價各漲7.4%、9.6%及5.7%。摩根士丹利發表亞太區新興市場策略報告,上調對亞太地區(撇除日本)及新興市場的評級,由原來「與大市同步」升至「增持」,指MSCI新興市場指數近日已回落至該行的熊市目標水平,自2021年2月已累跌40%,高於此前十個熊市周期的平均值。 大摩看好中國在岸及離岸市場股票,指與整個新興市場一樣,認為中國股票超賣,雖然該行預計中國股市將於未來12個月參與亞太(撇除日本)及新興市場股市的反彈,但現階段不認為中國股市會領先。該行亦更新了對恆指至明年6月預測,基本情境目標由21,500點下調至19,400點,相當於預測市盈率9.7倍,料明年股盈增長預測7%;該行亦下調國指明年6月基本情境目標預測,由7,330點降至6,550點,相當於預測市盈率8.5倍。 【升股千五隻 比亞迪受捧】 港股今日市寬向好,主板股票升跌比率為35比8(上日為15比23),上升股份1,504隻(升幅4.9%);恆指成份股今日70隻股份上升,下跌股份3隻,升跌比率為96比4(上日為33比62)。大市今日錄沽空220.27億元,佔可沽空股份成交額882.07億元的24.972%(上日為24.431%)。 申洲(02313.HK)全日股價彈13.7%,安踏(02020.HK)及李寧(02331.HK)股價各升10.5%及10.4%。摩根士丹利發表報告指,經過兩年的取消後,北京馬拉松將於11月6日復辦,是今年2月冬奧後北京最大型的公眾活動之一。而是次馬拉松最多可有3萬名跑手參與,雖然只限北京居民參加,但主辦方會邀請來自其他地方的專業跑手。大摩繼續看好安踏及李寧的風險/回報。 比亞迪(01211.HK)股價抽升近9.3%,瑞信發表報告指,比亞迪今年9月銷量創紀錄,達20.1萬架,按年升151%及按月升15%,表現稍好過預期,主要由於部件供應增加。該行表示,以今年第三季計,比亞迪銷量按年增160%及按季增52%,至53.9萬架,同時產品組合有改善,因此預期集團季度純利或可按年提升300%至51億元人民幣。(wl/u) ~
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