《即日市評》人幣跌穿「七算」港股弱 券商及內險股受壓
受科網股拖累下,港股今日回落。世銀首席經濟師警告,對全球經濟出現一段時期的低增長及高通脹,即陷入廣義滯脹感到憂慮;美國零售銷售數據勝預期,強化市場對美聯儲下周加息四分三厘的預期,美股道指及納指昨各跌0.6%及1.4%;執筆之時美國十年期國債孳息率升至3.466厘,美匯指數最新升至110.2,道指期貨最新跌277點或0.9%,納指期貨最新跌近1.3%。內地公布8月工業生產按年升4.2%、8月零售銷售按年升5.4%,均高於市場預期,在岸人民幣跌穿7算,人民幣即期收跌391點報7.0166兌一美元,上證綜指今日跌73點或2.3%收3,126點,深證成指跌2.3%,滬深兩市成交額7,994億人民幣。
恆指低開197點,早段曾跌252點一度低見18,678點,其後跌幅曾收窄至25點一度見18,905點,午市跌幅再度擴大,全日跌168點或0.89%,收18,761點;國指跌88點或1.36%,收6,420點;恆生科技指數跌104點或2.65%,報3,858點。富時羅素旗下指數收市後進行成份股調整,大市全日成交總額按日升51%至1,239.43億元,滬、深港通南下交易淨流入16.88億及7.83億元人民幣。
恆指本周累跌600點或3.1%、國指本周累跌207點或3.1%、恆生本周累跌218點或5.4%。美國早前公布8月通脹按年升8.3%高於預期,遠遠高於當局通脹2%目標,擔心美聯儲局未來「激進加息」,市場亦關注內地樓市及房地產銷售的情況。
【百勝中國挫 券商險股弱】
富時全球股票指數系列將中概股成份股由美股轉至港股,涉及百勝中國(09987.HK)、小鵬汽車(09868.HK)及新東方(09901.HK),及今日收市後生效,百勝中國全日股價挫5.8%,成交額增至58.5億元,小鵬汽車全日股價跌4.4%。
中資券商及保險股受壓,廣發証券(01776.HK)全日跌8.6%,華泰證券(06886.HK)跌4.6%,中信証券(06030.HK)、中信建投(06066.HK)及中國銀河(06881.HK)各跌4.8%至5%。內險股新華保險(01336.HK)跌6%。
摩根士丹利發表報告表示,在強勁的基建投資推動下,內地8月經濟數據增長表現出色,但估計第三季GDP增長仍處於低於3%的水平,符合該行低於市場共識的預測。該行表示,內地房地產市場低迷和新冠疫情限制仍是主要增長障礙,房地產資本支出按年進一步下降1.7個百分點至-13.8%,內房開發商面臨流動性壓力,該行指內地未來經濟增長復甦取決於如何緩解內房市場和疫情問題,隨著房地產市場持續低迷和疫情限制的揮之不去,料內地未來幾個季度的經濟增長前景可能仍模糊,料由2022年第三季度至2023年第一季度經濟增長平均處於約3%的較低水平。
【跌股千二隻 濠賭股上揚】
港股今日市寬轉弱,主板股票升跌比率為11比29(上日為17比21),下跌股份1,259隻(跌3.1%);恆指成份股今日28隻股份上升,下跌股份41隻,升跌比率為38比56(上日為40比52)。大市今日錄沽空225.32億元,佔可沽空股份成交額1,095.96億元的20.559%(上日為22.542%)。
澳門政府為新賭牌競投開標,6個批給不會改變,濠賭股新濠國際(00200.HK)及澳博(00880.HK)各升4.2%及5.1%,金沙中國(01928.HK)及銀娛(00027.HK)各升3.8%及2%。里昂發表研究報告指,對於大馬雲頂集團競投澳門賭牌,感到意外,惟該行預料現有六間博企獲發新賭牌,又指假如任何現有博企被除牌,但現時澳門因土地限制,亦未能即時提供解決方案,以增加現時賭桌數量。
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