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数据向好美股不惧加息集体收升,人民币走强港股节前终见强反弹
uSMART盈立智投 09-09 17:32

Jaco 袁永傑/uSMART投資顧問總監畢業於諾桑比亞大學,主修國際商業管理擁有10年港股、美股研究及操作經驗,擅長利用各種分析方式和宏觀經濟環境分析對股票及市場作出預測

01

昨晚歐洲央行宣佈將三大指標利率調高0.75釐,而美國聯儲局主席鮑威爾亦發表議息前最後一次講話,並再次重申聯儲局將力抗通脹,CME FedWatch顯示9月加息0.75釐機率進一步上升至86%。不過美國經濟數據理想增加市場信心,令美股延續上日升勢,其中美國上週首次申請失業救濟人數達22.2萬人,低於市場預期,連續4周下降,創今年5月以來新低,顯示經濟前景雖然不確定,但就業市場情況目前仍然理想。上週美國首次申領失業救濟人數爲22.2萬人,低於預期,並連續四周改善,而持續申領人數升至147.3萬人,則高於預期。道指升193點,收報31774點;納數升70點,收報11862點;標指升46點,收復4000點,收報4006點。

02

港股在中秋節假期前夕出現反高潮走出獨立行情,在新舊經濟股齊造好下大幅上升507點,收報19362點,成交略增至922億元。雖然市場仍被壞消息包圍,例如中國8月居民消費價格指數和工業生產者出廠價格指數均遜預期,其中連續十個月回落,並創2021年2月以來一年半低、再有外媒報道美國白宮正考慮限制美國企業投資中國科技公司以及單一騰訊最大股東Naspers旗下的互聯網投資旗艦Prosus再減持騰訊,昨日披露,最新減持111.5萬股,不過市場並未受影響,反而放大有關內房的好消息,觸發內房、物管股暴力拉昇,包括: 昨日鄭州市住房保障和房地產管理局召開鄭州市房地產開發企業瘦身自救行動,保交樓吹風會就鄭州問題樓盤30天攻堅行動進行細化解讀,而紓困基金專班要確保9月底前投放不低於50億元人民幣,10月中旬前全部放款到位和超過24個城市推行一人買房全家幫政策,當中以三四線城市爲主等等。總結: 美股大方向下,不過短線仍會繼續超賣反彈,而港股受人民幣短線走強利好下仍有輕微上升空間。

 

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