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A股收評:創業板指跌1.86%, 燃氣股表現低迷,消費概念逆市活躍

9月8日,A股三大指數齊跌,滬指早盤窄幅震盪,午後持續走低,全天收跌0.33%報3235點,深成指跌0.86%,創業板指受寧德時代影響跌1.86%。兩市超3600股下跌,1100股上漲,成交額7880億,北上資金淨賣出8600萬,為連續第6天淨賣出。

盤面上,題材整體表現低迷,板塊承接能力差,前面稍有企穩跡象的鋰電池、光伏、芯片等賽道股普遍下跌,寧德時代跌逾5%;天然氣、農林牧漁、煤炭、元器件等板塊跌幅靠前。中秋國慶雙節臨近,酒店餐飲、旅遊、航空股集體上漲,白酒股衝高回落,免税概念強勁,海汽集團等多股漲停;光熱發電概念大漲,盛德鑫泰收穫20CM漲停;超臨界發電、黃金、核電等概念相對活躍。

具體來看:

燃氣概念跌幅居前。德龍匯能、九豐能源、南京公用跌停,洪通燃氣、水發燃氣、首華燃氣、東方環宇等跟跌。消息面上,歐盟委員會主席馮德萊恩7日表示,將提議對俄羅斯天然氣價格實施限制,以削減俄羅斯的財政收入。俄羅斯總統普京則表示,如果俄羅斯石油和天然氣出口被施加價格上限,他將切斷能源供應。

石油股走低,新潮能源跌超4%,中國海油跌超3%,藍焰控股、ST洲際跟跌。消息面上,國際評級機構惠譽週三警吿稱,俄羅斯“北溪-1”管道無限期停供,加劇了歐元區陷入衰退的風險,加之歐洲央行與美聯儲本月大幅加息在即,投資者進一步看衰石油需求前景。

鋰電池概念震盪下行,寧德時代跌超5%,億緯鋰能、恩捷股份、華友鈷業跌超3%,天齊鋰業、贛鋒鋰業等跟跌。興業證券指出,2020年8月以來,供給相對剛性背景下動力電池需求快速放量推動鋰鹽價格持續飆漲。最新電碳價格再度回到50萬元高位水平,與上輪行情高點相比,已翻倍有餘。雖然旺季來臨帶動鋰價繼續探漲,但市場投資者畏高情緒愈發蔓延,普遍擔憂鋰價可持續性,近期鋰礦標的不漲反跌。借古鑑今,鋰價高位可持續性超預期有望驅動板塊估值修復。

貴金屬概念漲幅居前。銀泰黃金漲超8%,湖南黃金漲超5%,西部黃金、曉程科技等跟漲。東海期貨表示,美聯儲進入加息週期,在加息預期證偽前貴金屬或難有超額漲幅,震盪思路看待。目前美國通脹同比增速出現拐點,地產數據出現明顯下滑,市場對美聯儲加息高度預期或已見頂。結合長短期美債利率倒掛,目前或已接近加息尾聲,貴金屬價格上方壓力或逐漸減弱。

酒店餐飲概念大漲,同慶樓漲超8%,君亭酒店漲超6%,西安旅遊漲超4%,西安飲食、首旅酒店等跟漲。東吳證券指出,疫情可控下服務消費產業鏈穩定性增強,看好疫情趨穩後業績彈性恢復。對於餐飲/旅遊/酒店/航空等重資產或有較大經營槓桿企業而言,消費預期收入的邊際改善、紓困扶持政策帶來成本費用的降低將對公司業績產生較大幅度的積極影響。看好中期復甦帶來邊際改善和業績具有較大向上彈性的優質服務消費。

旅遊及景區、航空機場概念集體走強,桂林旅遊漲停,宋城演藝漲超、上海機場、白雲機場漲超3%。中秋國慶雙節臨近,傳統的旅遊消費旺季即將到來。飛豬發佈中秋旅遊消費觀察,由於假期天數較短,在低風險地區, “2小時度假圈”成為主流。近一週,飛豬平台上中秋本地酒店預訂量比前一週增長超1.7倍,本地景區門票等度假產品預訂量增超2.3倍。

今日,北上資金淨流入24.17億元,其中滬股通淨流入30.63億元,深股通淨流入-6.46億元。

展望後市,國盛證券表示,市場在財報季靴子落地後,受到政策預期校正、盈利預期修正、海外衰退漸進、機構倉位調整等因素影響,或進入高波動切換窗口。操作上,在市場有效向上突破之前仍要控制好總體倉位適宜低吸,存量博弈將成為驅動市場運行的主要邏輯,而高低切換為其主要特徵,關注調整之後成長修復預期下的電子、新能源和軍工,也可以關注農業、食品飲料、醫藥、綠電和能源等主題性板塊交易性機會。

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