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《即日市評》恆指「三連跌」 比亞迪捱沽 煤股逆市彈
美匯指數突破110水平,港股今日持續向下。美國上周五公布8月非農業新增職位勝預期,達31.5萬個,美股道指及納指上周五各跌1%及1.3%,其後俄羅斯天然氣商Gazprom稱,「北溪一號」輸氣管道有發動機損壞漏油,不能於今日(3日)如期重開,市場關注歐洲天然氣期貨價格急升,執筆之時美國十年期國債孳息率跌至3.199厘,美匯指數最新處110,美股今晚因勞動日假期休市,道指期貨最新升92點或0.3%,納指期貨最新跌0.04%。摩通亞洲區貨幣指數跌0.27%報99.64,中國8月財新服務業PMI降至55(市場預期54)、離岸人民幣兌美元失守6.95創逾兩年低,人民幣即期收跌338點報6.9366兌一美元,上證綜指今日升13點或0.42%收3,199點,深證成指跌0.2%,滬深兩市成交額7,697億人民幣。 恆指低開153點,曾跌387點一度低見19,064點,全日跌226點或1.16%,收19,225點,連跌三個交易日(累跌728點或3.7%);國指全日跌94點或1.42%,收6,577點;恆生科技指數跌79點或1.92%,收4,063點。大市全日成交總額984.4億元,滬、深港通南下交易分別淨流入18.61億及23.34億元人民幣。新東方在線(01797.HK)全日股價急吐15.9%。英鎊兌美元跌至1985年新低,兌港元穿9算,匯控(00005.HK)跌0.6%,長和(00001.HK)股價走低0.5%。 【恆指呈三連跌 比亞迪有沽壓】 美國股神巴菲特旗下投資旗艦巴郡申報再減持171.6萬股比亞迪(01211.HK)套逾4.5億元,比亞迪全日跌5.9%報215元。其他車股亦受壓,吉利(00175.HK)及蔚來(09866.HK)各跌7%及6.9%,理想(02015.HK)及小鵬(09868.HK)各跌2.5%及4.2%。 據港交所文件顯示,巴郡(BRK.A.US)於9月1日申報減持比亞迪的持股量至18.87%。大和發表報告表示,參考巴郡於2007年對中石油(00857.HK)悉數出售持股的行動後,料巴郡今次亦會全面清出對比亞迪持股,雖然該行預期比亞迪的基本面將保持穩健,但料在巴郡股權出售下,短期股價將承壓,並建議投資者在相關沽壓消除之後才重新審視。 【歐燃氣期貨飆 中資煤炭股彈】 港股今日市寬續弱,主板股票升跌比率12為28(上日為13比27),下跌股份1,214隻(跌幅近3%);恆指成份股今日19隻股份上升,下跌股份53隻,升跌比率為26比73(上日為9比90)。大市今日錄沽空170.66億元,佔可沽空股份成交額850.17億元的20.074%(上日為25.138%)。 中資煤炭股逆市彈高,「北溪一號」輸氣管道不會如期重開,神華(01088.HK)全日股價走高3.8%,中煤(01898.HK)揚8.3%,兗煤能源(01171.HK)股價揚12.2%。美銀證券近日發表報告表示,與《中國煤炭資源網》分析師馮東斌進行討論,該行引述該專家預測對今年餘下時間的煤炭價格保持樂觀,估計現貨動力煤價格於今年年底高企,可維持在每噸1,100至1,300元人民幣水平,焦炭價格可維持在每噸2,000至2,400元水平。 隨著夏季的結束,美銀證券指內地短期電力需求可能會下降,但同時引述馮東斌認為從9月下旬開始行業會有積極的催化劑,因為疫情影響和中共「二十大」前的進行安全檢查導致供應中斷,第二是內地政府能源「安全穩定供應」政策將持續到明年3月,第三是華北地區冬季補貨需求。
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