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穆迪維持中國「A1」評級 展望仍爲穩定
阿思達克 09-01 16:11
評級機構穆迪維持中國「A1」的長期本外幣發行人評級和高級無抵押債務評級,以及(P)「A1」的外幣高級無抵押儲架發行評級,評級展望仍爲穩定。 穆迪認爲,中國經濟規模龐大且具有競爭力,在抗擊疫情、「動態清零」政策以及應對房地產行業明顯放緩帶來的重大挑戰方面表現出相對韌性。長期來看,由於人口老齡化,中國的增長潛力將繼續放緩,但在收入水平持續上升和強有力的全球競爭力的支撐下,相信中國將繼續保持其高經濟實力。 近日穆迪已將中國今明兩年經濟增長預測分別調整爲3.5%和4.8%,以反映封控措施潛在影響,以及清零政策對消費市場的制約。 至於穩定展望,則反映出穆迪預期中國龐大的經濟和財政實力,應能抵禦短期、局部性壓力,從而支持主權評級,相信持續性有效政策及不斷推進漸進式改革可緩解風險。穆迪對中國的本外幣國家評級上限保持不變,仍分別爲「Aaa」和「Aa1」。
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