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《即日市評》人行不對稱降LPR利率 港股反覆跌 內房股揚
受金融及科網股拖累,港股今日反覆向下。受累美債孳息率上升,美股上周五道指及納指各跌近0.9%及2%;執筆之時美國十年期國債孳息率升至2.97厘,美匯指數升至108.32,美股道指期貨最新跌291點或0.9%,納指期貨最新跌1.5%。摩通亞洲區貨幣指數跌0.3%至100.79,人行將一年期貸款市場報價利率(LPR)降至3.65%、將五年期貸款市場報價利率降至4.3%,人民幣即期收跌296點報6.8384兌一美元,上證綜指今日升19點或0.6%收3,277點,深證成指升近1.2%,滬深兩市成交額共1.02萬億人民幣。 恆指低開200點後,大市曾收復失地,盤中曾倒升52點高見19,825點,午後再度回落,全日跌116點或0.59%,收19,656點;國指跌24點或0.37%,收6,695點;恆生科技指數跌40點或0.96%,收4,152點。大市全日成交總額830.87億元,滬、深港通南下交易分別淨流入12.59億及11.57億元人民幣。 恆指公司把神華(01088.HK)、周大福(01929.HK)、翰森製藥(03692.HK)及百度(09888.HK)納入恆指成分股。神華及翰森各升2.1%及3.2%,百度升0.9%,周大福股價先升後倒跌0.6%。 【降LPR利率 內房股造好】 報道指內地5年期以上LPR降15個基點,100萬人幣房貸30年減3.18萬人幣,內房股受刺激,旭輝(00884.HK)及雅居樂(03383.HK)全日股價各升11.5%及6.5%,而工行(01398.HK)及建行(00939.HK)股價均走低近0.2%。瑞信發表報告表示,人民銀行公布將內地一年期及五年期以上款市場報價利率(LPR)各下調5個及15個基點,因於今次LPR是不對稱性降息,假設存款利率沒有進一步變動,該行的靜態分析顯示,其所覆蓋的內銀全年盈利可能下降2.8%至12.9%,料淨息差可能會收窄3.3至8.7個基點。而該行認為今次降息旨在鼓勵長期投資和購房需求。 小米(01810.HK)全日股價下滑3.3%收11.28元,瑞聲(02018.HK)股價下滑5.6%。里昂表示小米第二季業績雖然符合預期,但受到內地因疫情封城的嚴重打擊,及海外消費者情緒疲弱。該行預期,集團第三季前景仍然具挑戰,估計收入或下跌低單位數,經調整盈利則料按年倒退40%以上,下調對小米今年及明年淨利潤預測8%及6%,並下調對小米目標價由14.6元降至13.8元,維持「跑贏大市」評級。大摩指市場將關注小米第三季旗下智能手機的毛利率及成本控制。 【市寬略轉弱 長汽逆市揚】 港股今日市寬轉弱,主板股票升跌比率17為21(上日為19比18);恆指成份股今日22隻股份上升,下跌股份43隻,升跌比率為32比62(上日為51比45)。大市今日錄沽空149.08億元,佔可沽空股份成交額708.43億元的21.044%(上日為23.447%)。 長汽(02333.HK)股價彈高11.1%收12.18元。內媒報道,長汽旗下哈弗H6超級混動DHT今日將亮相,長汽旗下哈弗品牌新能源戰略發布會暨第三代哈弗H6超級混動DHT雙子星耀世登場活動,預期今日在北京舉行。
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